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Forex - EUR/USD gains as investors avoid dollar on spotty data

Published 05/19/2014, 12:01 PM
Updated 05/19/2014, 12:02 PM
Dollar slides on mixed U.S. data, geopolitical concerns

Investing.com - Spotty data out of the U.S. last week prompted investors to avoid the greenback on Monday ahead of the Wednesday release of the Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting minutes, which gave the euro room to rise against the greenback.

In U.S. trading, EUR/USD was up 0.16% at 1.3717, up from a session low of 1.3693 and off a high of 1.3734.

The pair was likely to find support at 1.3649, Thursday's low, and resistance at 1.3775, the high from May 12.

Investors avoided the dollar on Monday to digest last week's mixed bag of economic indicators.

The preliminary Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell to 81.8 in May from 84.1 in April, confounding market expectations for a 84.5 reading, which softened the dollar.

On the flip side, the Census Bureau reported that U.S. building permits rose 8% to 1.080 million units last month, up from an upwardly revised 1.000 million in March. Analysts were expecting building permits to rise to 1.010 million units in April.

The report also showed that housing starts rose to 1.072 million units in April from 947,000 in March, whose figure was revised up from a previously estimated 946,000.

April's number far surpassed analysts' forecasts for a 980,000 reading.

The Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its latest policy meeting on Wednesday, and investors opted for safe-haven yen positions ahead of time, which weakened the dollar and gave the single currency room to rise.

Geopolitical concerns also softened the dollar by stoking concerns the U.S. may become deeper involved in the Ukraine crisis and risk seeing recovery suffer as a result.

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Ukrainian forces and pro-Russian separatists in the eastern reaches of the country continued to clash on Monday, resulting in the death of one Ukrainian soldier.

Ukraine will hold elections on May 25, and concerns persist that Russia will meddle in the voting and escalate the crisis.

Elsewhere, tensions in Libya flared after gunmen stormed parliament on Sunday in some of the worst violence the country has seen since the 2011 war that ousted Muammar Qaddafi.

The euro was up against the pound, with EUR/GBP up 0.08% to 0.8154, and down against the yen, with EUR/JPY down 0.08% at 138.92.

On Tuesday in the euro zone, Germany is to release data on producer price inflation.

In the U.S., Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Charles Plosser and Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley are to speak.

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