Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Forex - NZD/USD weekly outlook: March 31 - April 4

Published 03/30/2014, 09:48 AM
Updated 03/30/2014, 09:48 AM
NZD/USD ends the week up 1.38%

Investing.com - The New Zealand ended Friday’s session close to a two-and-a-half year high, amid indications the domestic economy is gaining momentum, while hopes for fresh stimulus measures from China also supported gains.

NZD/USD rose to 0.8697 on Friday, the pair’s highest since August 2, 2011, before subsequently consolidating at 0.8656 by close of trade on Friday, down 0.18% for the day but still 1.38% higher for the week.

The pair is likely to find support at 0.8590, the low from March 27 and resistance at 0.8697, the high from March 28.

The kiwi climbed to the highest level since August 2011 on Friday after China's premier Li Keqiang said policymakers are prepared to do more to shore up the cooling economy.

The remarks helped ease concerns over recent signs of a slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy.

The New Zealand dollar remained supported after data released earlier in the week showed that New Zealand’s trade surplus rose sharply in February.

The kiwi received an additional boost after Reserve Bank Deputy Governor Grant Spencer indicated that the bank could remove measures to cool the housing market, which would allow inflation to rise.

Meanwhile, in the U.S., data on Friday showed that U.S. consumer spending rose 0.3% last month after a downwardly revised gain of 0.2% in January

A separate report showed that the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index slipped to 80.0 in March, down from 81.6 the month before. It was higher than the preliminary March reading of 79.9 but below forecasts of 80.5.

On Thursday, economic reports showed that U.S. jobless claims fell to their lowest level since late November last week, while U.S. fourth quarter growth was revised higher.

Data from the Commodities Futures Trading Commission released Friday showed that speculators increased their bullish bets on the New Zealand dollar in the week ending March 25.

Net longs totaled 18,213 contracts as of last week, up 13.5% from net longs of 15,751 contracts in the previous week.

In the week ahead, investors will be looking to Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for March for further indications on the strength of the labor market.

Attention will also turn to the release of Chinese manufacturing data due Tuesday. The Asian nation is New Zealand's second biggest export partner.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, March 31

New Zealand is to produce private sector data on business confidence.

Tuesday, April 1

China is to release data on manufacturing activity.

Later Tuesday, the Institute of Supply Management is to publish a report on U.S. manufacturing growth.

Wednesday, April 2

The U.S. is to release the ADP report on private sector job creation, which leads the government’s nonfarm payrolls report by two days. The U.S. is also to release data on factory orders.

Thursday, April 3


China is to produce data on service sector activity.

Later in the day, the U.S. is to publish data on the trade balance and the weekly report on initial jobless claims. Meanwhile, the ISM is to publish a report service sector activity.

Friday, April 4

The U.S. is to round up the week with the closely watched government data on nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment rate.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.