Politicians and pundits both here and abroad were left scratching their heads
following last week’s talks in Washington. Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, in
two tightly and carefully written statements, did not come across in a way in
which he could be easily pigeonholed.
The pundits could not cast him, as
they generally love to, as that “hard-line,” right-wing leader who misses no
opportunity to torpedo any chance for peace, because his rhetoric did not fit
that characterization.
I
ndeed, on the day after four Israelis killed in a
terrorist attack near Hebron were buried, and two other people were shot at near
Rimonim, Netanyahu did not declare that it was impossible to negotiate while
terrorism was rampant and then quit the talks. Instead, he called Palestinian
Authority President Mahmoud Abbas his “partner” in peace.
And the
politicians, those here carefully monitoring every word he says for signals of
his true intentions, had to stand up and take notice when he uttered terms like
“West Bank,” which he says rarely in public, and Palestinian “sovereignty,” a
term he almost never uses, while at the same time refraining, even once, from
mentioning Jerusalem or saying that it will remain Israel’s undivided
capital.
What does this obvious change of tone mean, and what is
Netanyahu “up to?” There are three basic schools of thought.
The first
maintains that Netanyahu is simply calling Abbas’s bluff. According to this
thinking, Netanyahu does not believe Abbas really wants to reach an agreement,
and so he is eager to “rip off his mask” for the whole world to see, much as
prime minister Ehud Barak said he was trying to do to Yasser Arafat at Camp
David in 2000.
According to this thinking, he “knows” that Abbas will not
accept any offer that will necessitate any Palestinian concessions, just as he
refused a very generous offer by Ehud Olmert in the twilight of his premiership
in 2007, and as such Netanyahu can come out looking moderate.
The second
school of thought posits that Netanyahu is 100 percent genuine, and that his
mouth and heart are completely in sync. According to this school of thought,
Netanyahu has undergone what both Yitzhak Rabin and Ariel Sharon underwent
before him – a political metamorphosis caused by sitting at the country’s
helm.
Or, as Sharon famously said, what you see from there (the
opposition), you don’t see from here (the Prime Minister’s Office). According to
this way of thinking, Netanyahu now has an up-close appreciation of the vast
array of threats against Israel, and believes that the best way to deal with
them is to solidify relations with the US by cementing an agreement with the
Palestinians.
According to those who hold this position, Netanyahu meant
every word he articulated in Washington.
And the third school of thought,
a mutation of the second, is that while the prime minister – like his Foreign
Minister Avigdor Lieberman – does not really believe a peace deal is possible,
he is going through the motions because he wants to score points with the US
before a possible attack on Iran. In this way of thinking, taking out Iran is
more important than holding on to the West Bank, and if giving up much of the
West Bank is necessary to get US approval to take out Iran, then – with much
pain – so be it.
REGARDLESS of which school of thought one adheres to,
one thing was clear: Certain terms and phrases appeared in Netanyahu’s White
House speech last Wednesday night, and then again in his State Department speech
the following morning, that are not characteristic of the way he generally
speaks.
What follows is a brief primer of some of the different phrases
and terms that are now in the Netanyahu lexicon.
In the White House
speech before the joint meeting with US President Barack Obama, Abbas, Egyptian
President Hosni Mubarak and Jordanian King Abdullah II, the prime minister
surprised many right away by turning to Abbas and saying, “President Abbas, you
are my partner.” As if to pull the rug out from under the feet of the
disbelieving skeptics, those who couldn’t believe Netanyahu was speaking in
these terms about a man whom he has never publicly refereed to a as a partner
before, he repeated the comment the next day at the State Department. “President
Abbas, as I said yesterday in our meeting at the White House with the president
of the United States, the president of Egypt and the king of Jordan, I see in
you a partner for peace.”
His comment came just days after the Geneva
Initiative, reportedly funded partly by USAID money, initiated an ad campaign
aimed at the Israeli public trying to convince it that the PA was a peace
partner. This campaign was necessary, to a large extent, because the message
coming from the top has been that there really is no partner on the other side
willing – and then able – to make peace and implement it.
Just two months
earlier, in a speech to the Council on Foreign Relations in New York, Netanyahu
said he was serious about peace, but cast doubts about the other
side.
“People dismissed [Menachem] Begin and they dismissed [Anwar]
Sadat,” he said. “You should read the mountains of skeptical print that were
written about them. I intend to confound the critics and the skeptics.
I
need a partner. You can’t go on a trapeze, hold out your hand and not have a
partner on the other side.
You have to have that.” His implication was
clear, he was not certain – at least in July – whether he had that partner. Two
months later, however, his doubts had apparently melted away.
In the
White House speech, which took place just a day after the terrorist attack near
Hebron, Netanyahu also sounded almost like President Shimon Peres saying, “I
will not let the terrorists block our path to peace, but as these events
underscore once again, that peace must be anchored in security.”
True,
this was not exactly Yitzhak Rabin saying, “We will negotiate as if there were
no terrorism, and fight the terrorists as if there were no negotiations,” but it
was a much more moderate response than the country has been conditioned over the
years to hear from Netanyahu.
And if this was not exactly the response
the country anticipated, many were even more surprised when he spoke of Judea
and Samaria as the “West Bank.” “I see what a period of calm has created in the
Palestinian cities of Ramallah, of Jenin, throughout the West Bank, a great
economic boom,” he said, adding that what Israel hoped for eventually was that
“the skyline of the West Bank” would be “dominated by apartment towers – not
missiles.
We want the roads of the West Bank to flow with commerce – not
terrorists.”
While this was not the first time Netanyahu referred
publicly to Judea and Samaria as the West Bank – he did so in his Council on
Foreign Relations address and in a speech to the American Israel Public Affairs
Committee in Washington in March – this is far from his norm. As someone who
often eloquently articulates the Jewish people’s 3,000 year connection to
Israel, Netanyahu is well aware of the power of words and the symbolism of using
the term West Bank instead of Judea and Samaria.
Asked about his use of
the term, a source close to Netanyahu downplayed it, saying it was a slip of the
tongue. Yet the term “West Bank” appeared in the written text that was
distributed to reporters before the speech was delivered. By contrast, Netanyahu
never once during his public statements in Washington used the term “Judea and
Samaria.”
Within this context, it was also significant that, during his
White House speech, Netanyahu said – perhaps for the first time – that Israel
will concede territory. “ We want to ensure that territory we’ll concede will
not be turned into a third Iranian-sponsored terror enclave armed at the heart
of Israel – and may I add, also aimed at every one of us sitting on this
stage.”
While Netanyahu said a number of times in the past – first in his
Bar-Ilan speech, and later in other foreign policy addresses over the last year
– that he was in favor of a demilitarized Palestinian state next to Israel, he
never laid out in such bald terms that this would entail “conceding territory.”
It is one thing for everyone to realize that this is the natural outgrowth of a
two-state solution, but it is quite another when he actually comes out and –
starkly – talks about it, as if by talking about it he is starting to prepare
the country for that eventuality.
Netanyahu’s different usage of words
and terms was also evident during his statement at the State Department on
Thursday, when he said that a true peace, a lasting peace, will “be achieved
only with mutual and painful concessions from both sides – from the Israeli
side, from the Palestinian side, from my side, and from your side.”
This
was a much gentler variation of his motto from his first term, “If they give,
they’ll get; if they don’t give, they won’t get.” It is also a much milder,
toned-down version of what he said at the AIPAC annual conference in March.
“Peace requires reciprocity,” he said then. “It cannot be a one-way street in
which Israel makes all the concessions and the Palestinian Authority makes none.
That has got to change. Israel stands ready to make the compromises necessary
for peace, but we expect the Palestinians to compromise as well – to do their
part.”
During the statement in the State Department Netanyahu also made
reference to the Hebron and Wye agreements he signed with Yasser Arafat in 1997
and 1998, agreements he does not generally wave as great personal
achievements.
“You spoke about the veterans who are gathered here at this
table,” Netanyahu said to Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
“We’ve been
here before. We fashioned the Hebron agreement and the Wye
agreement.”
His atypical reference to those agreements seemed an attempt
to remind the watching world that he could sign peace agreements, and that –
indeed – he has done so in the past.
And, finally, Netanyahu said
publicly he respected the Palestinian desire for “sovereignty,” a term that
implies full independence and self-government. “President Abbas, I am fully
aware and I respect your people’s desire for sovereignty,” he said.
The
use of the word sovereignty seemed an upgrade from the way he described a future
Palestinian state in the Bar-Ilan speech. “In my vision of peace,” he said then,
“in this small land of ours two peoples will live freely, side-by-side, as good
neighbors with mutual respect. Each will have its own flag, its own anthem, its
own government. Neither will threaten the security or survival of the
other.”
This was described by senior confidants at the time as a recipe
for a “state-minus,” a state without the full trappings of sovereignty that
could endanger Israel.
NO LESS significant than what Netanyahu did say at
Washington, was what he left out.
First and foremost, he said nothing of
Jerusalem. Not a word. Nor did he make much mention of Iran, a favorite theme of
his talks when addressing an international audience. He also said nothing of
Palestinian incitement or “economic peace.”
Granted, in two brief
addresses at two ceremonial events he couldn’t touch on everything. Still,
Netanyahu seemed to consciously sidestep the issues that would play into his
image as the “hard-line” Likud leader, while choosing instead language that
would color him in a softer, gentler hue.