President Barack Obama would hint at US acceptance of ultimate Israeli control
over the major settlement blocs and Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu would
indicate he would extend the settlement construction freeze in the West Bank in
all areas outside of those blocs, according to ideas raised in Jerusalem as a
way to move the diplomatic process forward, on the eve of the prime minister’s
visit to Washington.
The Jerusalem Post has learned that, according to
this proposal, Obama would publicly hint at acceptance of then-US president
George W. Bush’s 2004 letter to then prime minister Ariel Sharon, and
Netanyahu would say that while settlement construction would continue inside the
large settlement blocks, it would not be restarted outside of those
areas.
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Bush’s letter, which was instrumental in enabling Sharon to get
2005’s disengagement from the Gaza Strip through the cabinet, stated: “It is
unrealistic to expect that the outcome of final status negotiations will be a
full and complete return to the armistice lines of 1949, and all previous
efforts to negotiate a two-state solution have reached the same
conclusion.
It is realistic to expect that any final status agreement
will only be achieved on the basis of mutually agreed changes that reflect these
realities.”
Israel has widely interpreted this to mean that the US backed
its position that the major settlement blocks would remain inside Israel
in any
future agreement. The Obama administration had never endorsed this
letter, with
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton saying last year that there were no
“informal
or oral enforceable agreements” regarding the settlements with the Bush
administration.
A formal endorsement of that letter by the Obama
administration would be considered significant in Jerusalem, and a
Netanyahu
willingness to extend the moratorium freeze in the majority of the West
Bank
would likely be seen as somewhat of a concession in Washington.
This
formula, according to officials, would be one way to finesse what is
looming as
a major issue of contention with the US: whether the 10-month-old
settlement
moratorium set to expire at the end of September will be
extended.
Committee rejects bill requiring Knesset moratorium approval
Netanyahu, meanwhile, won an important battle in the
Ministerial Committee for Legislative on Sunday, when it rejected a bill
that
would have forced him to get Knesset approval before any further
moratorium on
construction in the settlements.
The settlement-moratorium issue, as well
as other issues such as the situation in Gaza; Turkey; Iran; and the
Obama’s
administration’s backing of an Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty document
at the
UN that singled out Israel are expected to be the focus of talks
Netanyahu is
scheduled to hold with Obama on Tuesday in Washington.
Netanyahu is
scheduled to leave for Washington late on Monday.
Despite the weighty
issues on the agenda, this meeting – a make up of a meeting postponed
from last
month that was designed to improve the tone of the US-Israel ties – is
expected
to be very cordial, with the atmosphere much improved over the previous
four
meetings the two leaders have held in their current positions.
A change
in tone was apparent last week, when Dan Shapiro, the National Security
Council’s senior director for the Middle East and North Africa, held a
video
conference in advance of Netanyahu’s trip and said, “This is a very
close
relationship, a special relationship, a strategic alliance with one of
our
closest partners in not just the Middle East but the entire world.”
This
is already a far cry from March, when – shortly after the dust-up
following the
announcement of new construction in northeast Jerusalem’s Ramat Shlomo
neighborhood during Vice President Joe Biden’s visit here – State
Department
spokesman P.J. Crowley hinted that the US-Israel relationship would be
dependent
on the peace process with the Palestinians, and when administration
officials
hinted that Israel’s policies were endangering the lives of US
soldiers.
Netanyahu was supposed to meet with Obama in early June,
following a visit to Ottawa to meet with Canadian Prime Minister Stephen
Harper,
but that meeting was postponed because Netanyahu had to rush back to
deal with
the fallout from the IDF raid on the Turkish ship trying to break the
Gaza
blockade.
The June meeting, called in the midst of the Obama
administration’s “charm offensive” meant to repair damage caused by the
widely
perceived surly manner in which Obama received Netanyahu at the White
House
during their last meeting in March, was expected to be an opportunity to
show
publicly that Netanyahu and Obama had “pushed the reset button” in their
relationship.
The invitation for the June meeting came after Obama was
publicly taken to task by key Democratic politicians, including New York
Sen.
Chuck Schumer, for the tone of his relationship with Israel, and after
Obama met
Jewish politicians, and his top aides met on two occasions with a group
of key
US rabbis.
Tuesday's meeting to be accompanied by press conference
Since the June meeting was postponed, Tuesday’s meeting is
widely expected to have at least the public trappings of a change of
tone.
Unlike Netanyahu’s previous two meeting in the White House – in November
and
again in March when there was no press availability – Tuesday’s meeting
will be
accompanied by a photo-opportunity and brief press conference.
Both
Shapiro and Netanyahu said the talks would focus on how to move from
indirect to
direct talks with the Palestinians.
“A major focus of the discussion will
be around the progress that’s been made so far in the proximity talks
and the
opportunity to make the transition into direct talks,” Shapiro said.
“And
we’ve always viewed the proximity talks as a mechanism to get to direct
talks,
which is where the real negotiations toward agreements and ultimately an
agreement that will produce a two-state solution can be
achieved.”
Netanyahu, at Sunday’s weekly cabinet meeting, said, “The main
goal of the talks with President Obama will be to advance direct talks
in the
peace process between us and the Palestinians.”
Netanyahu said there was
no substitute for direct negotiations.
“One cannot raise ideas in either
the media or by other means, and avoid that direct contact, that is the
only
possible way to bring about a solution to the conflict between us and
the
Palestinians,” Netanyahu said, in reference to recent interviews granted
by
Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas.
“We are 10 minutes
apart.
Ramallah almost touches Jerusalem. I have been ready to meet with
Abu Mazen [Abbas] since this government’s first day in office,”
Netanyahu
said.
“Whoever desires peace will hold direct peace talks. I hope that
this will be one of the results of my trip to Washington.”
Diplomatic
sources said that although it was clear the US would like to see a
freeze on
settlement construction throughout the West Bank and Jerusalem, Obama –
whose
eyes are already on November 2’s midterm election – is unlikely because
of
domestic political considerations to do anything that would make him
appear as
if he was placing public pressure on Israel, at at time when he was not
seen as
placing equivalent public pressure on the Palestinians or the Arab
world.
One diplomatic official said that “crunch time” for the Netanyahu
government in terms of its relationship with Obama was not likely to
come until
after the November election, and before the beginning of the 2012
presidential
race that will start heating up already in the fall of 2011.
PA
negotiator Saeb Erekat, meanwhile, put the onus on Netanyahu to pave the
way for
direct negotiations.
“If he wants direct talks, he knows he has the key –
by stopping settlement activities and resuming negotiations where they
left off
in December 2008,” Erekat said. “If he does this, we will go immediately
to
direct negotiations.”
Erekat said the Palestinians have not heard any
specific proposals from Netanyahu concerning security arrangements and
the
borders of a future Palestinian state. “Mitchell brought us nothing,”
Erekat
said.
AP contributed to this report.