Israelis optimistic despite Iran threat, IDI finds
Israel Democracy Institute: 85% of Jews say Israel can defend itself militarily, 22% believe peace deal will be signed soon.
Jerusalem Day celebrations Photo: Marc Israel Sellem
More than three-quarters of Israelis are optimistic about their country’s
future, despite security, socioeconomic and other serious challenges that lie
ahead, the Israel Democracy Institute found in its annual Democracy Index
published on Thursday.
The index is an extensive annual public opinion
poll project, which has been conducted by the IDI’s Guttman Center for Surveys
since 2003. The 57-question survey of a representative national sample of 1,025
Israeli adults (834 Jews and 191 Arabs) was taken by Tel Aviv University’s Cohen
Institute for Public Opinion between April 16 and May 17. It had a margin of
error of only 3.1 percentage points.
According to the index, the overall
ratio of optimists to pessimists is 75.6% to 21.8%.
Among Jews, 78.8% are
optimistic about Israel’s future and only 18.1% pessimistic.
respondents, 60.2% are optimistic and 39.3% pessimistic.
“It is important
to note that most Israelis view the country’s future optimistically,” said IDI
Prof. Tamar Hermann, who oversees the project.
“Our national resilience
rests heavily on the fact that even though people are negative on Friday
evenings at their family dinner table and the zeitgeist is discouragement, when
you scratch a little deeper, people are not really depressed here.”
overall figure is almost exactly the inverse of the United States, where a
sample of 1,441 American registered voters surveyed by the Ipsos marketing
research firm recently found that 76% believe their country is on the wrong
Israel is eighth out of 36 countries surveyed in life satisfaction
rate according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development’s
recent Better Life Index. The US is 12th.
When asked why they are
optimistic, 21.5% of Jewish respondents gave a general answer; 18.2% said
security and the IDF; 13.7% the solidarity of Israeli society; 12.2% patriotism
and Zionism; 8.4% their family; 8.2% the economy and technology; 7.1% their
religious faith; 6.4% said politics; and just 2% said future peace.
Arabs, the main reasons cited were general optimism, politics and Israel’s
economy, technology and higher education.
When asked about the near
future, 85.4% of Jewish respondents said Israel would be capable of defending
itself militarily and 84.9% said the country would maintain its status as a
leading hi-tech nation.
Only 17.1% think Israel will lose its Jewish
character and only 32.7% believe Israel will be more isolated internationally
than it is today.
Just 22.5% of Jewish respondents believe a peace
agreement will be signed with the Palestinians.
The proportion of Israeli
Arabs who believe a peace deal will be reached is much higher, 38.7%, and the
percentage who consider Israel capable of defending itself is lower, 62.8%.
When asked if they want to live in Israel long-term, the
numbers for Jews and Arabs both hovered around 90%.
When asked what
tension in Israeli society they see as the most glaring, Israelis said the
Jewish-Arab divide, followed by the religious-secular split and the rift between
rich and poor, and only then the dispute between the Right and Left on
diplomatic and security issues. The percentage who answered ethnic tension
between Ashkenazim and Sephardim was so small it was within the margin of
The index asked varying Jewish groups whether Israel being a
Jewish or democratic state was more important to them. Among haredim, 80.4% said
Jewish and 19.2% said both. Zero percent said democratic and not Jewish. Among
Israelis defining themselves as secular, 35% said democratic, 20% said Jewish
and 43.3% said both.
More than 50% of Israelis defined themselves as
rightwing, 30% as centrist and just 17% as left-wing. When asked how the
government was handling the state’s problems, 14.1% of leftists said well and
83.6% said not well. Among centrists, 32.3% said well and 64.4% not
The Right was divided, with moderates in a statistical tie between
those saying the government was handling the state’s problems well and those
saying the opposite, and those who define themselves as far-right saying not
well by a wide margin, 56% to 41%.
Asked which institutions they trust,
Arabs put the Supreme Court first, followed by the police and then the media.
The institutions they trust the least are political parties and the prime
Left-wing Israelis also said they trusted the Supreme Court the
most and the parties the least.
Right-wing and centrist Israelis trust
the IDF and the president the most, and political parties and the media the
least. The poll was taken well before controversial statements President Shimon
Peres made about the government’s handling of the Iran issue.
majority of respondents feel that the protests of summer 2011 succeeded in
raising media interest and public awareness regarding social and economic issues
but were less successful in changing government priorities and failed to weaken
the status of the wealthiest tier.
Jews were three times more likely than
Arabs to say that the Arab political leadership was more extreme than Arab
citizens of Israel.
A majority of Jewish respondents (58.3%) believe that
Israel’s Arab citizens are not discriminated against, while a majority of the
Arab respondents (74.9%) hold that they are.
Hermann said the divides on
many issues revealed by the survey proved the strength of democracy in the
“I believe that Israeli democracy is alive and kicking,”
she said. “It’s a vivid and lively democracy, even more so than the democracies
in the West. The average citizen is interested, knowledgeable and opinionated on
politics while in other states they are seen as the purview of the upper
echelon. It’s a good sign for a democracy when people are engaged.”