Ramifications for Israel of a Syrian civil war

A Syrian civil war could prove to help Israel more than it hurts.

By
January 8, 2012 16:38
4 minute read.
Syrian anti-Assad protest.

Syrian anti-Assad protest 311 R. (photo credit: REUTERS)

 
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Ever since the Arab Spring began, Israelis have fretted endlessly about what regime change will mean for our national security. While the rest of the world was jubilant, Israeli commentators mostly joined in a different chorus: The Arab Spring will beget an Islamist Winter. The implication has been clear: the wave of democracy washing over the Arab World will undermine our security.

In the case of Egypt and Tunisia, such concerns have real merit—especially in the short and intermediate future. Yet, if Syria does get pulled down the vortex of civil war—which previously I wrote was nearly inevitable, even if Syrian President Bashar Assad abdicates—it may actually improve Israel's strategic position.

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