Former prime minister Ehud Olmert would fare poorly if he decides to make a political comeback and run in the January 22 election, a Smith Research poll conducted for The Jerusalem Post
and Globes found this week.
The poll, which was conducted before the assassination of Hamas military wing chief Ahmed Jabari, found that if elections were held now, Kadima under Olmert's leadership would win only 11 seats. The poll predicted that if Olmert did not run, Kadima would fail to pass the electoral threshold, but Defense Minister Ehud Barak's Independence Party would win the two percent of the vote necessary to enter the Knesset.
Asked whether they would find an Olmert comeback acceptable, 63% said no, 24% said yes, and 13% declined to express an opinion. Among respondents who said they intend to vote Kadima in the election, 61% said no and just 10% said they wanted to Olmert back in politics.
Among supporters of other parties, more respondents backed Olmert coming back: 14% among Likud-Beytenu backers, 28% among Laborites, and 37% among people who intend to vote for former journalist Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid party.
The poll was conducted Monday and Tuesday among 500 people representing a statistical sample of the adult Israeli population. It has a margin of error of 4.5 percent.