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Crude oil futures - weekly outlook: April 7 - 11

Published 04/06/2014, 07:27 AM
Updated 04/06/2014, 07:27 AM
U.S. oil futures end the week with a loss of 0.52%

Investing.com - New York-traded crude oil futures ended Friday’s session higher, after the latest U.S. employment report underlined the view that the economy was regaining strength after a setback caused by bad weather.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light sweet crude oil for delivery in May ended Friday’s session up 0.85%, or 85 cents, to settle at $101.14 a barrel.

U.S. crude futures rose to a session high of $101.63 a barrel earlier in the day, the most since March 31.

Futures were likely to find support at $99.07 a barrel, the low from April 3 and resistance at $101.97 a barrel, the high from March 31.

Despite Friday’s gains, Nymex oil futures ended the week with a loss of 0.52%, or 53 cents, the first weekly decline in three weeks.

The Labor Department reported Friday that the U.S. economy added 192,000 jobs in March, below expectations for jobs growth of 200,000. February’s figure was revised up to 197,000 from a previously reported 175,000.

The U.S. unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.7%, compared to expectations for a tick down to 6.6%.

The jobs report disappointed some market expectations for a more robust reading but indicated that the slowdown in economic activity seen at the start of the year was temporary.

Oil drew additional support from hopes that China will implement economic stimulus measures in the near-term to shore up slowing growth.

The U.S. and China are the world’s two largest oil consuming nations

In the week ahead, market players will be focusing on Wednesday’s minutes of the Fed’s most recent policy setting meeting for further clues on the future course of monetary policy.

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Oil traders are also looking ahead to monthly reports from the International Energy Agency and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries due later in the week, which will indicate expectations of supply and demand in the global market.

Data from the Commodities Futures Trading Commission released Friday showed that hedge funds and money managers increased their bullish bets in New York-traded oil futures in the week ending April 1.

Net longs totaled 300,921 contracts, up 2.49% from net longs of 293,403 in the preceding week.

Elsewhere, on the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent oil for May delivery settled at $106.72 a barrel by close of trade on Friday, up 0.54%, or 57 cents.

Despite Friday’s modest gains, the May Brent contract dropped 1.24%, or $1.35, on the week, amid expectations oil exports from Libya will begin picking up in the near future.

Meanwhile, the spread between the Brent and the WTI crude contracts stood at $5.05 a barrel by close of trade on Friday, compared to $6.40 in the preceding week.

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