BRITAIN’S peasants have revolted. Or, paraphrasing the words of John Major when faced with a vociferous rebellion by Conservative Brexiteers during his 1990s premiership, ‘the b*****ds have won.’
How the impact of Britain’s referendum vote to quit the European Union will play out is anyone’s guess and crystal balls are being polished with frenzied anticipation, if not blind panic. Nothing is ruled out or in.
David Cameron – Israel’s best buddy in the EU – quickly announced he was resigning as Prime Minister and will be history by the time his Tory party meets in annual conclave in October. This, in itself, is predicted to ignite a blood-letting feud within the ranks and whomever emerges as the new leader will face the Herculean task of stitching together the fabric of a tattered party.
Backed by his Eurosceptic clique, inevitably Boris Johnson, the eccentric and divisive former London mayor, will be a contender, possibly challenging a ‘compromise’ candidate – Home Secretary Teresa May immediately springs to mind.
However, the collateral acrimony will be felt far and wide across the Disunited Kingdom and beyond.
Labor’s accidental leader, ultra-Leftist Jeremy Corbyn, backed by the membership but loathed by the vast majority of his parliamentarians, is already under pressure to quit, after mounting the feeblest case for continued EU membership, a horse dragged to water and forced to drink.
In Scotland, which voted emphatically to remain in Club Europa, there are rumblings for a second independence referendum to leave the UK, though wily Scottish Nationalist leader, Nicola Sturgeon, will only trigger one if she’s absolutely certain of success next time.
Pro-EU Northern Ireland might also be prompted to vote for secession.
Meanwhile, Brussels’ high command is lost in a morass of high dudgeon and quivering fear of  domino effect contamination; dread that others – notably the rich, liberal northern states of Netherlands, Denmark and even Germany – are witnessing unprecedented public unrest and rumblings from their peoples, that they, too, should be given a vote on continued EU membership.
Dutch elections are due next March, the French in April and May, and Germany in the autumn. In all cases, anti-EU, anti-immigration sentiment is creating singular momentum and France’s National Front leader, Marine Le Pen, can hardly wait to bring it on.
Plus, thanks to German Chancellor, Angela Merkel’s provocative decision to invite in a million, mainly Muslim immigrants, ill-feelings has been aroused across a tranche of Europe and further cemented the appeal of far-Right parties.
An edgy Donald Tusk, president of the EU Council, admitted as much, when he predicted a UK Brexit ‘will bring political chaos to Europe’.
The remark underlined the ever-fracturing disconnect between Club Europa’s governors and the governed. And, more importantly, begs the question: is the EU fit for purpose for various reasons?
In the southern states, German-orchestrated austerity has sewn doubt into the minds of many Spaniards, Portuguese and Italians, while Greece remains an economic basket-case, with zero chances of recovery unless Brussels releases its throttle-hold on growth there.
However, with its upbeat economy and low unemployment, the issues that concentrated British minds most were immigration - especially if Turkey is granted EU status - and sovereignty. And so, against most expert advice on the financial implications of quitting, Brits gambled their faith in their nation’s ability to trade far and wide, unshackling themselves from Brussels’ Big Brother manacles.
Whatever else, it is a bold gesture of defiance and, if nothing else, should eventually result in returning power to democratically-accountable, elected Westminster, where Brits dearly want it back.
All the same, the vote for Brexit has come as a shock, with the markets ‘dumbfounded’ (the opinion of my banker daughter and reflected across the City’s financial quarter).
The outcome also underlined England’s schisms, with the north heavily in favor of leaving and the south adamant for remaining, London resolutely so.
For Israel the Brexit result is a mess of potage.
In as much as he could, Cameron’s voice of reason acted as a brake on EU antagonism towards the Jewish state and, mirroring the USA, Britain has been lukewarm over the controversial French initiative to impose a peace solution on the Israeli-Palestinian impasse.
Oded Eran, former Israeli ambassador to the EU and now a senior analyst at the Institute for National Strategic Studies in Tel Aviv, noted recently, ‘It is preferable for Israel that Britain remain in the EU, where it is a voice of moderation’ in favor of Israel.
In contrast, Efraim Inbar, head of the Begin Sadat Center for Strategic Studies at Bar-Ilan University, noted the EU stance reflects an ‘anti-Israel’ orientation emanating from Brussels.
And he believes, ‘If Britain leaves and the EU becomes weaker, it will impact positively on Israel. The EU as a whole is much more anti-Israel than its individual countries, so if it is weakened that will be good.’
However, as a stunned world comes to terms with its fifth largest economy quitting its largest trading block, the only certainty is that nothing can be assured.
So watch this space…

Relevant to your professional network? Please share on Linkedin
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this blog article are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the official position or viewpoint of The Jerusalem Post. Blog authors are NOT employees, freelance or salaried, of The Jerusalem Post.

Think others should know about this? Please share