The Likud will receive 39 seats in the next Knesset with Kadima shrinking to 12,
while expectations for Yair Lapid’s party have dropped to six seats, according
to a poll by the Geocartography Institute.
If an election had been held
on Friday, the day the poll took place, the right-wing bloc would grow to 76
seats, and the Likud would make up over half of the bloc.
grow by 12 MKs, while Israel Beiteinu would receive 13 instead of the current
15. A joint National Union-Habayit Hayehudi list would get 10 seats, as opposed
to the current four and three, respectively. United Torah Judaism would remain
at five seats, while Shas would shrink from 11 to nine.
Kadima and Labor
would each get 12 seats, which is less than half of what opposition leader Tzipi
Livni’s party currently has, and a four-seat increase for Labor led by Shelly
Yacimovich. Previous polls by Geocartography had shown Labor with as many as 18
seats and Kadima with as few as eight.
The expectation for Lapid’s as yet
unnamed party, which had previously reached 20 seats, dropped to 10-15 MKs at
the beginning of the month, and is currently at six seats.
As for the
rest of the Knesset, Meretz would gain a seat, reaching four, while Arab parties
would drop from 11 to 10.
Defense Minister Ehud Barak’s Independence
Party is not expected to get any seats in the next Knesset.