Ayalon: Regional instability could last a generation
Deputy foreign minister says he would not be surprised if the Arab Spring spawns eight new states in the near future.
Deputy FM Ayalon in YouTube video Photo: YouTube screenshot
Deputy Foreign Minister Danny Ayalon predicted Monday that regional instability
could continue for one generation, saying that it would not surprise him if the
Arab world splits into 30 separate states in the near future.
League currently consists of 22 members from across the Middle East and North
Africa, including Syria, which was suspended in November 2011, and the
“When we talk about the so-called Middle Eastern
Spring, we are seeing something that is very similar to what happened in the
Soviet Union,” Ayalon said at the opening to the annual Go4Europe conference in
“A dictatorial regime, a police state, suppresses all inner
conflicts in the society. But when the strong regime falls, for whatever
reason, everything comes out.”
“You have to remember that aside from
Egypt, all the Arab countries are artificial. They were created by two
European gentlemen, Sykes and Picot, British and French, who divided up areas of
influence on the ruins of the Ottoman Empire – irrespective of nationalities,
tribes and other geopolitical considerations,” he continued.
that regional instability creates complications for investors who are interested
in emerging markets.
However, he also put a positive spin on the
situation, saying that the Sunni- Shi’ite conflict and internal schisms within
both branches of Islam are eroding the unity of the Arab League and reducing the
likelihood of “Arab boycotts and OPEC extortion.”