Experts

Israeli strategy in the case of a new Cold War

In the fashion of every other state, the state of Israel would exist more or less precariously, amidst the hardening animosities of a new Cold War.

us army
Photo by: REUTERS
At first glance, whatever happens in the Ukraine ought not to have any obvious impact upon the Middle East, least of all upon Israel's strategic posture. Nonetheless, among other things, the current crisis in Kiev, the Crimea, and Moscow could portend the beginnings of a new Cold War. In any such development, by definition, there would be a sudden or incremental escalation of tensions between Russia and the United States. This particular resurrection of earlier bipolar antagonisms would inevitably unleash far-flung and largely unforeseen consequences.

For Israel, any such return of superpower rivalry could signal a crucial warning or a promise. More precisely, in the always-volatile Middle East, the expected fragmentation of more traditional world security processes could take on either an ominous or reassuring shape. How, exactly, should this more-or-less discernible transformation, this unexpectedly revived era of bipolarity, be deciphered? What, in fact, could its successful decoding mean for the Jewish State's military policies, and overall national survival?



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