In the weeks between his June 14 election victory and his inauguration this past
weekend as president of Iran, there has been an effort in the West to see Hassan
Rouhani as a promising moderate.
Just a week before his inauguration, The
New York Times
published a front-page profile entitled “President-elect stirs
optimism in the West” that opened with an account of how 11 years ago as a
nuclear negotiator, Rouhani “took out his cellphone” and convinced Iran’s
supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, to suspend the country’s march toward
nuclear weapons capability. The result was an October 2003 agreement that held
A former director-general of the French Foreign Ministry
cited the agreement as proof that Rouhani was “the only one able to sell
something deeply unpopular to the other leaders,” while Iraqi Prime Minister
Nuri Kamal al- Maliki told the United States last month that Rouhani was ready
to start direct talks.
The Americans seem to have taken Maliki’s
assessment seriously: “The inauguration of President Rouhani presents an
opportunity for Iran to act quickly to resolve the international community’s
deep concerns over Iran’s nuclear program,” White House spokesman Jay Carney
said in a statement.
The White House has, so far, declined to publicly
back tough new sanctions on Iran approved by the US House of Representatives,
arguing for a pause to see if Rouhani will be interested in a nuclear
The West has a tendency to seek compromise, and to believe that
with a little goodwill, long-standing rivalries and bitter disagreements can be
smoothed out through dialogue and diplomacy. This is a perfectly reasonable
position, which is based on the assumption that people are really not that
different and that Iran’s leaders largely view the conflict with the West in the
same way as Westerners view tensions with Iran.
All this reflects a very
Western hope that it is still possible to defuse tensions with Iran over the
regime’s nuclear program and, in so doing, to revive support for diplomatic
solutions. Unfortunately, there is no real evidence that Rouhani’s election
victory justifies the West’s optimism regarding a peaceful resolution to Iran’s
nuclear ambitions and aggression toward Israel.
On the Friday before his
inauguration, Rouhani was quoted by the Iranian student news agency ISNA as
saying, “The Zionist regime is a wound that has sat on the body of the Muslim
world for years and needs to be removed.”
Even if Iranian officials are
to be believed that Rouhani’s words were “distorted,” the official version was
not fundamentally different: “In our region there’s been a wound for years on
the body of the Muslim world under the shadow of the occupation of the holy land
of Palestine and the beloved al-Quds.”
The mullahs who run Iran and a
large percentage of the masses that support them truly do see the West’s secular
culture as an imminent danger to their fundamentalist version of Shi’ite Islam.
And they are right. Western ideals that value human dignity for both men and
women, protect against religious persecution and uphold freedom of expression
are an obstacle to the implementation of the mullahs’ reactionary dream of
creating caliphates throughout the Middle East and beyond.
that in his books on foreign policy, Rouhani belittles the Christians in the
West for caving in to secularism without a fight; sees the Islamic Republic and
the US as countries locked in a permanent conflict; and views Israel as “the
axis of all anti-Iranian activities,” according to the above mentioned Times
Rouhani’s election should, instead, be seen as a tactical ploy
that does not reflect a deeper process of real moderation.
flamboyantly anti-West Ahmadinejad with a man with a past that includes the
successful, if short-lived, clinching of a freeze on the Iranian nuclear program
is smart from a foreign policy perspective. It plays on the West’s natural
tendency (weakness?) to prefer compromise over conflict and to believe that at
heart all humans want, like Westerners, to live in peace.
rightly believe that showing a face of moderation will buy them time while they
continue to move closer to nuclear weapons capability. But the Iranians must
also be made to understand that as they move closer to nuclear breakout, Israel
moves closer to the point where it sees military intervention as the only option
that remains “on the table.”
Stay on top of the news - get the Jerusalem Post headlines direct to your inbox!