Gambling

Odds moved sharply as rumors of his death circulated and analysts drew attention to a wave of wagers placed on his ouster both right before the attacks, as well as in January.

The case follows reporting that Israeli authorities were examining whether insider information had been used to profit from prediction markets tied to Israeli operations in Iran in June 2025.

Prediction markets claim to reveal the future, but when wars, elections, and disasters are used for gambling, the consequences can be dangerous.

An anonymous user on the Polymarket gambling site, which allows users to gamble on future global events, accurately predicted four events surrounding Israeli action during Operation Rising Lion.