|Photo by: REUTERS/Lior Grundman|
Analysis: IDF prepared for a different attack
By YAAKOV KATZ
It was thought terrorists from Gaza-based PRC were interested in abducting soldier, civilian, would infiltrate in middle of night.
Israel had several days to prepare for the attack that took place on Thursday near the Netafim border crossing with Egypt. Intelligence provided several days earlier by the Shin Bet (Israel Security Agency) referred to a large attack that the Popular Resistance Committees planned to launch from the Sinai Peninsula.
For that reason, the Golani Brigade’s Reconnaissance Battalion – a member of which was killed in the attack – and the Israel Police’s YAMAM Counter-terrorism Unit were already deployed along the border and able to respond quickly to neutralize the terrorists.
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Had they not been there, a senior IDF officer said Thursday, the number of casualties would have been significantly higher.
The problem, though, was that the army prepared for a different attack.
It thought, for example, that the terrorists from the Gazabased PRC were
mostly interested in abducting a soldier or a civilian, and would
therefore infiltrate Israel in the middle of the night and not, as they
did, in the middle of the day. For that reason, the IDF also did not
think that the gunmen would cross into Israel where they did, since it
is directly under an Egyptian military outpost.
The fact that the attack did not play out as the IDF had assessed does
not mean that the terrorists did not plan to kidnap a soldier or a
This was probably thwarted by the YAMAM and Golani’s fast response. The
location of the attack, though – right under the nose of the Egyptian
military – is indicative of the larger threat and problem that Israel
faces today not only from the Gaza Strip, but also from Sinai.
On Sunday, the Egyptian military launched Operation Eagle in
coordination with the IDF and poured 1,000 soldiers and hundreds of
armored personnel carriers into the Sinai Peninsula, but apparently that
was just not enough.
A combination of a security vacuum and a more sympathetic regime in
Cairo to Hamas and its terror proxies in the Gaza Strip is turning Egypt
– and particularly the Sinai Peninsula – into a major challenge for
Since Hosni Mubarak’s fall, the number of intelligence alerts that the
Shin Bet has recorded regarding possible attacks from Sinai has more
than tripled, and there is a standing general warning in place at the
IDF’s Edom Division, responsible for the border.
That is why in recent weeks, officials from the Prime Minister’s Office
and the Foreign Ministry have been raising the Sinai threat in talks
with foreign dignitaries who have been asked by Israel to pressure the
interim government in Cairo to start to act.
The problem is that unlike in the Gaza Strip, Israel will not – and
likely cannot – act freely militarily-speaking when it comes to Egypt,
even if it knows about a ticking terrorist bomb. Ties with the interim
regime have been tense ever since Mubarak was overthrown in February,
and an Israeli attack on Egyptian soil – no matter what the target and
the legitimacy – would not be taken lightly.
For that reason, the IDF was extra careful on Thursday when shooting into Egypt territory in response to gunfire from Sinai.
In one case, soldiers crossed the border by several meters and neutralized the terrorists.
They immediately retreated.
In response to the attacks on Thursday, the IDF will likely maintain a
larger presence along the border and the Defense Ministry will speed up
construction of the security barrier it has been building there for a
The problem is that the fence is being built slowly, and no matter how
fast they move, realistically it will not be completed before the middle