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The humiliating treatment accorded Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu during his recent visit to the White House and the 13-point diktat that he received from President Barack Obama have brought relations between the US and Israel to a point of crisis. But however this particular dispute is played out in the days and weeks ahead, observers must ponder what will follow during the rest of the Obama presidency.
Though much of the focus of Obama’s foreign policy has seemed to be a fixation with making nice with rivals and enemies, it has also been accompanied by what appears to be a calculated decision to create some distance between America and Israel. Indeed, just 15 months into the Obama presidency, the relationship seems to be as fractious as it has been in recent memory. In his first months, Obama tried and failed to topple Netanyahu’s newly elected coalition by issuing a demand for a settlement freeze. In an attempt to smooth things over with his country’s only ally, Netanyahu formally accepted the principle of a two-state solution and agreed to stop building in the West Bank, though not in Jerusalem.
But when an ill-timed announcement of a housing project in eastern
Jerusalem coincided with the visit of Vice President Joe Biden earlier
this month, Obama pounced again. The incident was portrayed as a
full-blown insult to America that required the stiffest condemnation.
Indeed, the plan to build apartments for Jews in an existing Jewish
neighborhood was greeted by a more spirited American denunciation than
Obama had mustered for Iran’s stolen election or the brutal repression
of protesters in the streets of Teheran.
As the dispute entered
its third week, Obama’s anger and his determination to force Netanyahu
to give in on the question of building in the eastern sector of
Israel’s capital was apparently unabated. Yet this is hardly the first
dispute between the two countries. Every administration since 1967 has
proposed peace plans and negotiating strategies that Israel disliked or
actively resisted. Genuine friends such as Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton
and George W. Bush, as well as less friendly presidents such as Jimmy
Carter and George H.W. Bush, all pushed hard at times for acceptance of
BUT IN spite these precedents, Obama
has managed to go where no American president has gone before. For all
of the problems created by all of his predecessors about settlements in
the West Bank, no previous American leader has ever chosen to draw a
line in the sand about the Jewish presence in Jerusalem. It is true
that the US never recognized the annexation of the eastern sector of
the city after Jerusalem’s unification in 1967. In fact, it has never
even recognized western Jerusalem as Israel’s capital.
new Jewish neighborhoods that sprang up along the northern, eastern and
southern outskirts of the city as well as those in the Old City were
never a source of contention even during the presidencies of Carter or
the elder Bush. Indeed, the notion that places such as Ramat Eshkol,
Pisgat Ze’ev, Gilo or even Ramat Shlomo (the site of the “insult” to
Biden) are considered “settlements” by the US and thus no different
than the most remote hilltop outpost deep in the West Bank is something
that has come as a complete surprise to most Israelis, let alone
American supporters of Israel.
During the course of his first go
at Netanyahu, Obama made it clear that, contrary to a promise given by
George W. Bush in 2004, he considered the bulk of settlements situated
close to the 1967 line that Israelis believe they will keep even in the
event of a peace deal, to be just as illegitimate as more controversial
communities. In the hope of defusing the argument, Netanyahu
reluctantly agreed to a freeze in these towns and villages, while still
maintaining that Jerusalem could not be treated in the same way. But
Washington’s decision to jump on the Biden incident as an excuse to
demand that the freeze be extended to eastern Jerusalem signals that
Obama clearly believes that, like the big settlements of Ariel and
Ma’aleh Adumim, the homes of the approximately 200,000 Jews who live in
eastern Jerusalem are also on the table.
IT IS far from clear
what Obama thinks he can achieve with these demands. Despite
Netanyahu’s concessions on the West Bank, the Palestinian Authority is
still refusing to negotiate directly with Israel. Indeed, the so-called
“proximity talks” that Obama was in such a lather to revive with
further Israeli concessions showed little promise. The circumstances
that have always prevented the PA from signing any agreement that
legitimized a Jewish state within any borders have not changed. Even
more to the point, since Obama has followed every concession with
demands for more, why should Mahmoud Abbas negotiate since his failure
to do so is inevitably rewarded with more pressure on Israel?
But despite that fact that his diplomatic offensive has virtually no
chance of success, Obama has still done something that will permanently
alter Middle Eastern diplomacy. By treating the Jewish presence in
eastern Jerusalem as a vast illegal settlement, the continued growth of
which is an alleged impediment to peace, Obama has made it impossible
for any Arab leader to ever accept Israel’s possession of this part of
the city. This not only makes the already near-impossible task of
forging peace that much harder, it is a crushing blow to decades of
Israeli and American Jewish efforts to force international recognition
of a unified Jerusalem.
This year, along with the conventional four questions of the Passover
Seder, some Americans are starting ask themselves “Why is this
president different from all other presidents?”
The answer is that Barack Obama has now established opposition to
Israel’s hold on its capital as a cornerstone of American Middle East
policy in a way that is completely new as well as dangerous. Those
wondering whether or not this development ought to cause them to
reevaluate their political loyalties might want to remember the closing
refrain of Passover Seders down through the centuries: “Next year in
Jerusalem.”The writer is executive editor of Commentary magazine and a contributor to its blog at www.commentarymagazine.com. email@example.com
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