After Political divorce, Livni's party falls short

Ahead of the upcoming April elections, Israelis face a wave of new political parties running for Knesset.

January 2, 2019 20:20
1 minute read.
Elections 2019: Who will Israel choose?

Elections 2019: Who will Israel choose?. (photo credit: MARC ISRAEL SELLEM/THE JERUSALEM POST)


Dear Reader,
As you can imagine, more people are reading The Jerusalem Post than ever before. Nevertheless, traditional business models are no longer sustainable and high-quality publications, like ours, are being forced to look for new ways to keep going. Unlike many other news organizations, we have not put up a paywall. We want to keep our journalism open and accessible and be able to keep providing you with news and analysis from the frontlines of Israel, the Middle East and the Jewish World.

As one of our loyal readers, we ask you to be our partner.

For $5 a month you will receive access to the following:

  • A user experience almost completely free of ads
  • Access to our Premium Section
  • Content from the award-winning Jerusalem Report and our monthly magazine to learn Hebrew - Ivrit
  • A brand new ePaper featuring the daily newspaper as it appears in print in Israel

Help us grow and continue telling Israel’s story to the world.

Thank you,

Ronit Hasin-Hochman, CEO, Jerusalem Post Group
Yaakov Katz, Editor-in-Chief


They say that in a divorce, there are no winners, and that was proven in the first polls that came out a day after Labor leader Avi Gabbay broke up with his Zionist Union partner, Hatnua head Tzipi Livni, on live television.

A TNS poll taken for Channel 1 on Tuesday and Wednesday found that Hatnua would not even cross the 3.25% electoral threshold. Labor under Gabbay would win only seven seats in the April 9 election, two less than the nine predicted in a poll by the same poll taken on Sunday.

A Midgam survey taken for the news channel predicted five seats for Livni’s party and eight for Gabbay’s, far less than the 24 the Zionist Union won in the 2015 election. Midgam also predicted nine seats for the Zionist Union on Sunday.

Gabbay’s associates said he ordered polls ahead of his decision to end the partnership after he found that Labor would win the same with or without Livni. They said he made his decision because her electoral support did not justify the reserved slots her and her allies had on the Zionist Union list.

A source in Hatnua mocked Gabbay, saying that the Labor leader had revealed a poll taken two weeks ago that predicted 15 seats for the Zionist Union.

The TNS poll was taken among a group of 543 people representing a statistical sample of the adult Israeli population. The Midgam poll was taken among 515 Israelis and had a 4.4% margin of error.

Regarding the new Hayemin Hehadash Party formed on Saturday night by former Bayit Yehudi leaders Ayelet Shaked and Naftali Bennett, the polls continued to be inconclusive.

In the TNS poll, the new party fell from 14 seats to nine since Sunday, even though Bayit Yehudi would not cross the electoral threshold. Bennett and Shaked’s party remained at six seats in the Midgam poll and Bayit Yehudi remained at four.

Three other polls taken on Sunday predicted anywhere between eight and 14 seats for Hayemin Hehadash. The impact of the addition of The Jerusalem Post senior contributing editor Caroline Glick to the new party has not yet been measured.

Join Jerusalem Post Premium Plus now for just $5 and upgrade your experience with an ads-free website and exclusive content. Click here>>

Related Content

Attorney-General Avichai Mandelblit
May 27, 2019
A-G: I delayed Netanyahu's hearing because of other defendants hearings