The fall of Dera’a

The Dera’a rebels had no air power, precious little artillery and armor, and no international support, against an enemy possessing all these resources.

By
July 9, 2018 21:37
1 minute read.
The fall of Dera’a

A FIGHTER from the Free Syrian Army is seen in the Yadouda area in Dera’a.. (photo credit: REUTERS)

 
X

Dear Reader,
As you can imagine, more people are reading The Jerusalem Post than ever before. Nevertheless, traditional business models are no longer sustainable and high-quality publications, like ours, are being forced to look for new ways to keep going. Unlike many other news organizations, we have not put up a paywall. We want to keep our journalism open and accessible and be able to keep providing you with news and analyses from the frontlines of Israel, the Middle East and the Jewish World.

As one of our loyal readers, we ask you to be our partner.

For $5 a month you will receive access to the following:

  • A user experience almost completely free of ads
  • Access to our Premium Section
  • Content from the award-winning Jerusalem Report and our monthly magazine to learn Hebrew - Ivrit
  • A brand new ePaper featuring the daily newspaper as it appears in print in Israel

Help us grow and continue telling Israel’s story to the world.

Thank you,

Ronit Hasin-Hochman, CEO, Jerusalem Post Group
Yaakov Katz, Editor-in-Chief

UPGRADE YOUR JPOST EXPERIENCE FOR 5$ PER MONTH Show me later

The surrender agreement reached between Syrian rebel factions in Dera’a province and the Assad regime on Friday marks the predictable conclusion to the government offensive into the province that began on June 19.

In a simple, brutal strategy that has become familiar from similar applications across Syria since early 2016, rebel-controlled areas were first softened up by aerial bombing and bombardment, with ground forces amassed next to the rebel areas.

Be the first to know - Join our Facebook page.


Then the prospect of surrender was offered, with the certainty of renewed carnage if it was refused.

There had been initial statements from the rebels of a fight to the death. The result of such a last stand would have been predictable. The Dera’a rebels had no air power, precious little artillery and armor, and no international support, against an enemy possessing all these resources in abundance. As in Aleppo, Homs, Hama and eastern Ghouta, facing the prospect of certain defeat, they chose surrender instead.

With the fall of Dera’a, the Sunni Arab rebellion launched in late 2011 against the Assad regime comes close to its conclusion.

Only Quneitra province still contains areas of independent rebel control (as well as an area controlled by an ISIS franchise). These form the next natural target for the regime’s forces.

For Israel, the crucial issue will be whether Iranian-associated forces will accompany regime troops to the border with the Golan. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is scheduled to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow this week. The issue of Syria and specifically that of the composition of forces that will arrive to the border in Quneitra will presumably form a major item on their agenda.

JPOST VIDEOS THAT MIGHT INTEREST YOU:


It remains deeply open to question as to whether Putin has either the will or the capability to prevent Iranian deployment in the border area. The Iranians have invested deeply in Syria and possess a powerful military-political infrastructure in the country.

The imminent eclipse of the rebellion, of which the fall of Deraa constitutes a milestone, therefore looks set to lead to continued competition and probable clashes between Israel and that infrastructure in Syria.

The writer is a researcher at the Jerusalem Institute for Strategic Studies (jiss.org.il).

Join Jerusalem Post Premium Plus now for just $5 and upgrade your experience with an ads-free website and exclusive content. Click here>>

Related Content

A Palestinian man inspects the scene of an Israeli air strike on a Hamas security forces site in the
November 12, 2018
No Holds Barred: Qatar flashes cash at Gaza while Hamas continues its brutality

By SHMULEY BOTEACH