By all conventional measures, 2025 has been an exceptional year for alternative assets. Gold prices have surged by more than 26%, and Bitcoin has shattered records, climbing above $124,000.
These gains did not occur despite global instability; they happened because of it. As central banks hesitate, interest rates fluctuate, and the international order shows cracks, investors are seeking refuge in assets that promise one thing traditional markets can no longer guarantee: insulation from systemic risk.
At first glance, this seems predictable. Gold has long been regarded as a safe haven in times of crisis, a tangible store of value, and a symbol of resilience. But Bitcoin? Once dismissed as the tool of digital anarchists and dark-net activists, it now moves in step with the mood of the financial system itself. Its sharp rises in turbulent times pose a deeper question: Is Bitcoin truly an alternative to the system, or just another mechanism the system has learned to absorb?
Safe haven or stress barometer?
The prevailing narrative says Bitcoin responds to inflation, currency devaluation, and declining public trust in central banks. In that sense, it is “digital gold”: scarce, decentralized, and anti-establishment. Unlike fiat currencies that can be printed without limit, Bitcoin has a fixed supply cap of 21 million coins. From a monetary theory standpoint, it is a revolutionary experiment.
But its behavior tells a more complicated story. In some crises, Bitcoin soars; in others, it crashes alongside the stock market. This suggests it is not a pure safe haven but rather an asset reflecting sentiment, ideology, and shifts in collective mood. When trust in institutions falters, Bitcoin becomes more than an investment; it becomes a statement.
When the rebel grows up
Here lies the paradox: Bitcoin is no longer anti-establishment. Financial giants like BlackRock and Fidelity have entered the market. Bitcoin-based exchange-traded funds are now traded. State regulators are defining clear frameworks for exchanges. What once operated outside the system is, step by step, being woven into it.
This changes the rules. As institutional players join, Bitcoin’s behavior becomes more predictable, moving in parallel with other risk assets. It reacts to interest rates, political tensions, and market indices. It starts to behave like just another financial product, not like a revolution.
In other words, as Bitcoin gains legitimacy, it also loses some of its edge. Its value still depends on being “different,” but its price increasingly reflects adoption by mainstream players.
Lessons from gold’s history
History offers a striking precedent. Gold, too, began as an alternative to the monetary system but ultimately became a policy instrument for central banks. They bought it, controlled it, and in doing so, stripped away much of its counter-system essence. Will Bitcoin share this fate? Possibly.
As it becomes a legitimate asset, Bitcoin risks transforming from a rallying cry for freedom into just another balance-sheet entry, complete with options, derivatives, insurance products, and trading algorithms. The mythology may remain, but the function will be indistinguishable from any other asset.
What it means for investors and citizens
For investors, the message is clear: Bitcoin may still deliver returns, but it is no longer an ideological shelter. Its volatility remains high, yet it is now translated into beta coefficients and risk-appetite models. The question is not whether Bitcoin will survive but at what cost its uniqueness will be preserved.
In an era where even rebellion is commercialized, legitimacy is a double-edged sword. The system knows how to adapt, and sometimes, the most effective way to neutralize a revolution is to welcome it inside.
The writer is an entrepreneur and commentator on economics and geopolitics.