That great NBA comeback to tie? Study finds it doesn't lead to victory in overtime
The research concluded that teams that come from behind do not have a greater chance of winning in overtime.
By CASSANDRA GOMES-HOCHBERGUpdated: JANUARY 1, 2019 04:46Indiana Pacers shooting guard Victor Oladipo (4) dunks against Brooklyn Nets small forward Rodions Kurucs (00) during the fourth quarter at Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY, December 21st, 2018(photo credit: BRAD PENNER/USA TODAY SPORTS VIA REUTERS)
Researchers from Ben Gurion University (BGU) have debunked a theory of how psychological momentum in sports and life leads to success.In an article published in the Journal of Economic Psychology, Dr. Morgulev and professors Ofer H. Azar and Michael Bar-Eli of BGU's Department of Business Administration studied the effect of fourth-quarter comebacks in NBA games and its correlation on overtime performance - whether the immediate success of tying the game before the end of regulation created enough psychological momentum to lead the team to victory in overtime.In short, no. The study concluded that teams that come from behind do not have a greater chance of winning in overtime.“People talk about momentum as an indicator for success in business, sports and politics,” says Dr. Elia Morgulev from the BGU Department of Management, Guilford Glazer Faculty of Business and Management. “However, after studying close to 900 tied games with fourth-quarter comebacks over 11 NBA seasons, we found that, regardless of momentum, teams with the home court advantage and the better season-long win-loss record were more likely to succeed in the five-minute overtime.”Psychological momentum is defined by the Oxford Dictionary of Sports Science as "the positive or negative change in cognition, affect, physiology, and behavior caused by an event or series of events that affects either the perceptions of the competitors or, perhaps, the quality of performance and the outcome of the competition."
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