Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei at NAM 390.
(photo credit: REUTERS)
The axis of Iran, Hezbollah and Syria, as well as Shi’ite-ruled Iraq basked in
glory Monday over the deal reached between world powers and Iran over its
nuclear program. The deal signaled a transformation of the regional strategic
landscape in their favor.
Hezbollah lauded the success of the nuclear
deal between its patron Iran and world powers.
“What was achieved through
this agreement is a major victory for Iran and to all the people of the region
and it is a defeat for the enemies of these people,” Hezbollah said in a
“[It is] a model victory and world class achievement which the
Islamic state adds to its record which shines with victories and
According to Yigal Carmon, the president of the Washington
based Middle East Media Research Institute, the deal changes the geo-strategic
reality in the Middle East, granting it hegemony over other powers in the
What the US administration gave Iran in exchange for the deal “is
something much more grave than a nuclear bomb,” said Carmon, a former chief
counterterrorism adviser to prime ministers Yitzhak Rabin and Yitzhak Shamir. He
pointed out that its real victory is its recognition as a nuclear threshold
“The Iranian threat was never just about the bomb, it is Iran’s
extremist ideology which calls for ‘death to America,’ and ‘death to Israel,’
and engaged in insurgencies in neighboring countries,” he said adding that it
also commits terrorist attacks abroad, “including an attempted terrorist attack
in the heart of Washington
We are witnessing a “major change of
historical proportions that is being led by the current US administration,” he
The sense from Iran and its allies is that the deal implicitly
recognizes Iran’s nuclear right to enrich uranium and it essentially opens the
door for Iran to continue its rapprochement with the West.
the deal helps legitimize the government of Iran even though it is fomenting
unrest in Syria, Yemen, Bahrain, Lebanon and Iraq, as well as using terrorism
worldwide to promote its Islamic revolutionary agenda. These issues were not
dealt with in the agreement.
Analysts believe that the deal comes at the
expense of traditional US allies in the region, namely Israel, the Gulf states
Comments by some Arab states praising the deal could be viewed
as more of a move meant for self-preservation.
They realize who the
rising power is.
Salman Shaikh, the director of the Brookings Doha Center
in Qatar told The Jerusalem Post
, “My assessment” is that the agreement will
“heighten the sense of uncertainty” and “lead to an intensification of the
conflict in the region.”
“The Middle East resembles a pressure cooker
about to blow,” Shaikh warned.
Carmon believes that US President Barack
Obama has a vision, which he presented in his 2009 addresses in Ankara and
Cairo, in which the US ceases to be an “imperialist” power with bases in the
region and protecting the status quo of dictatorial regimes.
Carmon explained, “he wants a US that aligns with the peoples and revolutionary
movements, over the head of current regimes that have been US allies for many
He cited the US support for the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt as an
“What is happening now is that old alliances are being compromised and losing their importance as the US moves to accommodate new ones such as Iran,” said Carmon.
that many in Israel will find it a scary development since the traditional
pillar of the alliance between the US and Israel is based on shared values and
interests,” and this is being put into question by the hope of a new alliance
with Iran, he said.
“How can these shared values and interests continue
to exist while America is reaching out to a country which continues to work for
the annihilation of Israel,” asked Carmon.
Further, the fact that the
deal was preceded by months of secret negotiations
that began when former
Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was in power, he said, demonstrates that
the approach towards Iran “was not based on the election of [President] Hassan
Rouhani, but on the ideology of Barack Obama.”Reuters contributed to