From Bucharest to Cairo

The probable course of the ‘Arab Spring’ is likely to be unstable, disruptive and violent.

February 7, 2012 14:19
3 minute read.

Roses cartoon 390. (photo credit: Avi Katz)


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When the “Arab Spring” erupted a year ago, many in the West hailed the development as a breakthrough for democracy in the Middle East and made upbeat comparisons with the fall of communism in Central and Eastern Europe in 1989 and the collapse of the Soviet Union two years later.

But those making these buoyant assessments ignored the unwelcome fact that the majority of people who became “free” as a result of the events in 1989 and 1991 continue to live under totalitarian or authoritarian regimes. Moreover, those countries that successfully made the transition to democracy did so because they were able to link themselves politically to NATO and/or the European Union and because of the influx of trillions of dollars of Western economic aid.


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