Nate Silver’s punditry revolution

The new methods for predicting the outcome of the US elections are changing the face of media analysis.

March 12, 2013 14:17
Poll of voter's opinion on Romney and "47%"

Romney poll graphic . (photo credit: REUTERS/REUTERS GRAPHICS)


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Whether or not US President Barack Obama is re-elected will not just determine the future of politics, it is also likely to influence the future of political punditry as well.

The media has been following the US elections with two very, very different narratives. Apart from the obvious – i.e. Democrat versus Republican—opinions were divided between those who thought the race was way too close to call and those who predicted with great confidence that Obama was far more likely to win.


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