John Kerry and Mahmoud Abbas..
(photo credit: Reuters)
Half of the Palestinians favor negotiations with Israel, while three-quarters
reject a permanent settlement if it includes a 10-year transitional phase during
which the IDF remains deployed in the Jordan Valley, a public opinion poll
published on Tuesday found.
The poll, conducted by the Palestinian Center
for Policy and Survey Research, covered some 1,270 Palestinians and has a margin
of error of 3 percentage points.
Seventy percent of the respondents are
pessimistic about the chances for success of the peace talks with
Fifty percent support the PLO ’s decision to resume peace talks
with Israel, while 47% oppose it.
The pollsters also found that a
majority of 53% supports the two-state solution, while 46% oppose
Sixty-eight percent said that the chances for the establishment of a
Palestinian state in the next five years are slim or nonexistent.
overwhelming majority of 76% oppose a permanent solution if it includes a
10-year transitional period during which the IDF remains deployed in the Jordan
Opposition to the agreement is higher in the West Bank (82%) than
in the Gaza Strip (65%).
According to the findings, 46% support and 53%
oppose a package of a permanent-status agreement based on the 2000 Clinton
Parameters and the 2003 Geneva Initiative.
Support for this package stood
at 43% in December 2012.
Fifty-two percent of respondents support a land
swap with Israel, while 48% oppose it.
On the issue of Jerusalem, the
survey showed that 68% oppose a compromise in which the east Jerusalem would
become the capital of a Palestinian state with Arab neighborhoods coming under
Palestinian sovereignty and Jewish neighborhoods coming under Israeli
Other findings of the poll: If the Palestinian Authority
held a presidential election now, Mahmoud Abbas would receive 52% of the vote,
while Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh would get 42%. If the presidential contest was
between jailed Fatah leader Marwan Barghouti and Haniyeh, the former would
receive 61% and the latter 34%. In parliamentary elections, Fatah would receive
40%, Hamas 29% and other electoral lists combined 8%, while 23% are
Thirty-nine percent of respondents said that Hamas’s way is
the best for ending occupation and building a state, while 36% favor Abbas’s way
as the best.
Compared to a year ago, findings indicate a drop in the
proportion of those who believe that Hamas’s way is the best and increasing
support for Abbas’s decision to launch peace talks with Israel.