Who won the battle for Syria?

Some say Assad was the victor, some say it was Obama.

By AVI ISSACHAROFF
September 14, 2013 19:50
1 minute read.
Bashar Assad gives an interview to Russian TV

Bashar Assad gives an interview to Russian TV 370. (photo credit: Reuters)

 
X

Dear Reader,
As you can imagine, more people are reading The Jerusalem Post than ever before. Nevertheless, traditional business models are no longer sustainable and high-quality publications, like ours, are being forced to look for new ways to keep going. Unlike many other news organizations, we have not put up a paywall. We want to keep our journalism open and accessible and be able to keep providing you with news and analyses from the frontlines of Israel, the Middle East and the Jewish World.

As one of our loyal readers, we ask you to be our partner.

For $5 a month you will receive access to the following:

  • A user uxperience almost completely free of ads
  • Access to our Premium Section and our monthly magazine to learn Hebrew, Ivrit
  • Content from the award-winning Jerusalem Repor
  • A brand new ePaper featuring the daily newspaper as it appears in print in Israel

Help us grow and continue telling Israel’s story to the world.

Thank you,

Ronit Hasin-Hochman, CEO, Jerusalem Post Group
Yaakov Katz, Editor-in-Chief

UPGRADE YOUR JPOST EXPERIENCE FOR 5$ PER MONTH Show me later Don't show it again



There is a natural tendency among the media (and I include myself in this), something almost instinctual, to summarize certain events as quickly possible. To bestow points, to determine the winner and the loser, to shed light on an often blurry and murky picture, turn it into something black and white.




Be the first to know - Join our Facebook page.


Immediately after the announcement that Syria had agreed to the Russian proposal on international oversight of the former's chemical weapons, the American and Israeli media was into two clear camps: President Barack Obama's detractors and supporters.




The former claim that Syrian President Bashar Assad is the big winner, while the latter maintain that Obama has shown the extent of his faith in international diplomacy, and has managed to get Damascus to give up on its chemical weapons without firing a single shot.




But when it comes to the current situation in Syria, it is still too early to identify the winners and losers. Only when the true picture becomes clear in another few months, will we see the impact of the Russia maneuvering of this last week: Did Assad really fool the West and manage to hang on to some of his chemical weapons, or can Obama really claim gains in the Middle East without any military action?




Of course Syria this week made it clear that it would sign up for the Chemical Weapons Convention. Yet despite this newfound "enthusiasm" by Damascus for international treaties, the chances of a scenario in which the Syrian president agrees to hand over his entire chemical weapons arsenal are not very high, although it is certainly possible.




Syria needs these weapons to deter superior powers such as the US from any attempt to invade, and the same principle applies to Israel as well. This Assad's insurance. It makes more sense, therefore, that the president will yield some chemical weapons, perhaps even most of them, but he will hold onto a few missiles, just in case.




Related Content

Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
July 21, 2018
Khamenei backs blocking Gulf oil exports if Iranian sales stopped

By REUTERS