You know the accord reached in Geneva last weekend between the P5+1 and Iran is
a bad deal when the US Secretary of State, John Kerry, proclaims that the accord
does not recognize Iran’s “right to enrich” uranium, and five minutes later the
Iranian foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, says it does.
Woe to us
that Zarif speaks with more credibility than Kerry. Officials in Washington have
now confirmed the Iranian interpretation by commenting on the record that it is
“not realistic” to expect, even in a further accord, that Iran will agree to
You know it’s a bad deal when John Kerry says that the
accord’s main purpose is to “put time on the clock,” but Dr. Ephraim
Asculai, a veteran of both the IAEA and the Israel Atomic Energy Commission,
determines that the Iran accord “does not do anything to change Iran’s breakout
time, except perhaps in a very minor way.”
Asculai says the interim
agreement adds only “a few days” onto the regime’s clock, should it decide to
sprint toward a bomb.
You know it’s a bad deal when one of the
most-ballyhooed Iranian “concessions” is its agreement – for the next six months
– not to install plutonium production equipment in the heavy water reactor in
But this is a joke, since the reactor is still under construction
and will be so for at least another 12 months, and Washington now admits that
the text of the accord has a loophole that allows Tehran to build components
off-site for later installation in the reactor.
You know it’s a bad deal
when the second most-celebrated Iranian “concession” is its agreement to
temporarily halt enriching uranium to a 20 percent level (and convert what they
have into fuel rods or uranium oxide) and to limit the number of centrifuges in
Natanz by half and the number of centrifuges in Fordo by
Israeli analysts term these restrictions almost
meaningless. Iran already has more than eight tons of low-enriched uranium,
enough for four to five atom bombs; and with nearly 18,000 fully-operational
centrifuges, it can enrich uranium to any level it wants within a short period
So Iran is already a nuclear threshold country in terms of its
ability to produce fissile material, and this situation won’t change. The
Iranians can quietly accept the freeze on high-enriched uranium, and make a
swift run any day in the future towards the critical amounts needed for a
You know it’s a bad deal when one of the much-touted-breakthroughs
is Iranian agreement to supposedly “intrusive” UN inspections.
But the UN
has missed every major Iranian nuclear advance over the past twenty years, and
been very slow to call-out the Iranians when it did find evidence of Iranian
Moreover, the hypothetically-intrusive UN inspections do not
include access to the places where Iran is suspected of working on nuclear
weaponization, like Parchin. In fact the interim accord doesn’t restrict or
relate at all to Iran’s military programs in nuclear metallurgy, warhead design,
and long-range missile production.
You know it’s a bad deal when the US
administration official in charge of the negotiations with Iran is none other
than Wendy Sherman, US under secretary of state for political
Sherman was the US official who negotiated America’s flimsy
accords with North Korea in 2005 and 2007 – each of which was hailed as
“historic and transformative” by Washington, only to be violated with impunity
by the North Koreans again and again.
Today the Kim regime has uranium
enrichment facilities, has restarted (again) its plutonium-producing nuclear
reactor at Yongbyon, has conducted a series of increasingly successful longrange
missile tests, and has carried out three nuclear tests (in 2006, 2009 and
You know it’s a bad deal when columnist Tom Friedman of The New
York Times, widely viewed as a spokesman for Obama, makes it clear that America
has “more important” and comprehensive goals in mind than “just” halting the
Iranian nuclear program. For Friedman (and quite clearly Obama), détente with
Iran is “worth” some acceptance of Iran’s nuclear status. They’re making a
“worthy bet” (Friedman) that “Iranian moderates can be empowered” by the easing
of sanctions, the legitimization of Iran’s nuclear program within limits, and
ending Iran’s isolation from the world.
In other words, they’re betting
that appeasement of the Ayatollahs is going to generate Persian perestroika. Oh
You know it’s a bad deal when the yearlong – until-now-secret –
American-Iranian talks have reportedly not focused at all on Iran’s “bad”
behavior in the region.
Behavior such as supporting Hezbollah and Syria’s
Assad, to its subversive activities in Egypt and Jordan, to its genocidal
statements with regard to Israel.
All this is being swept under the rug
in a dangerously-enthusiastic rush to craft a new nuclear deal with
Of course, it’s a deal that may last long enough for Obama to
serve-out his presidential tenure without having to really confront the
Iranians, so it’s “worth it.”
You know it’s a bad deal when just about
every administration spokesman has explained over and over again in recent weeks
that war with Iran is not an acceptable option.
Thus residual, ritual
American incantations of the diplomatic formula that “all options remain on the
table” – one being that military action could still be contemplated if the
Iranians don’t follow through on their new commitments – ring totally hollow.
It’s clear that the Obama administration has no intention of striking the
Iranian nuclear military complex, ever, under any circumstances.
it’s a bad deal when the Geneva accord may not really be much of an actual
agreement at all.
Former US National Security Council official Elliott
Abrams has pointed out that the accord summary released by the White House is
couched in “aspirational” terms, suggesting that actual “implementation” of
Iranian commitments still need to be negotiated, and the White House now admits
as much. Zarif has actually called the White House texts “invalid and one-sided
interpretations of the texts agreed to in Geneva.”
You know it’s a bad
deal when the French foreign minister and others are already saying that the
so-called interim accord could be in place for a year or more, since talks on a
longer-term agreement may be prolonged and difficult.
And who knows
whether Tehran will ever agree to a tougher accord.
So Obama’s “interim”
accord could become a lasting arrangement; the worst possible
You know it’s a bad deal when President Shimon Peres and
Ambassador Uri Savir, who negotiated the disastrous Oslo accords, think the
Geneva accord is a good deal.
You know it’s a bad deal when Obama and
Kerry have taken to belittling Israel’s concerns, and to battering American
Jewish and congressional critics of the Geneva deal with insinuations of
disloyalty, dual loyalty and warmongering.
But all is fair in Obama’s
drive for a new regional order in which Israel is a bit player and side concern,
and America’s grand reconciliation with radical Islam is the paramount strategic