'Sanctions may not be enough'

Israeli UN envoy, Gabriela Shalev expects weak resolution against Iran won't halt nukes.

Gabriela Shalev 311 (photo credit: Shahar Azran)
Gabriela Shalev 311
(photo credit: Shahar Azran)
The softened sanctions against Iran that are likely to be passed in cooperation with China won't make Teheran halt its uranium enrichment program, according to Israel's Ambassador to the UN Gabriela Shalev.
"The sanctions being crafted won't prevent Iran from continuing to enrich uranium, though this does not preclude the possiblity some states will put in place more severe sanctions of their own," Shalev said Thursday morning on Army Radio.
The ambassador called China's joining the other permanent members of the security council for discussion of sanctions to be imposed on Iran important news, and welcome progress. But said it must be understood these sanctions would be limited by the wide partnership.
Will the US allow Israel to strike Iran's nuclear facilities?
The five permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany are unified on putting together new sanctions on Iran over its suspect nuclear program, US Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said Thursday.
On Wednesday two US officials said that in a phone call among officialsfrom the US, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany, the Chineserepresentative said his country, long a holdout against freshinternational penalties against Iran, was prepared to discuss specificpotential sanctions.
Clinton did not elaborate but responding to a question about the information released by the two anonymous US officials, she said they had "accurately described" the position of the group known as "P5-plus-one."
"There will be a great deal of further consultation, not only among the P5-plus-one but other members of the Security Council and other member nations during the next weeks," she told reporters.
The Obama administration is hoping to get a UN resolution by the end of April. Clinton has not publicly cited a specific timetable but in recent days has sounded more optimistic about the chances of getting China to agree that new penalties are needed to force Iran's hand.
Earlier a US intelligence report updated Iran had both made gains and suffered setbacks in a nuclear program that gives Teheran the possibility of building nuclear weapons, even though it has not moved decisively toward that goal.
“We continue to assess Iran is keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapons, though we do not know whether Teheran eventually will decide to produce nuclear weapons,” states the Central Intelligence Agency report, provided to Congress by the office of the director of national intelligence and posted recently on the DNI Web site.
“Iran continues to develop a range of capabilities that could be applied to producing nuclear weapons, if a decision is made to do so,” the report says.
Mathew Burrows, counselor to the US National Intelligence Council, told a Washington foreign press briefing that when it came to whether Teheran would move toward creating a nuclear bomb, the US intelligence agencies “continue to judge that Iran takes a cost-benefit approach in its nuclear decision-making. We judge that this offers the intelligence community – the international community – opportunities to influence Teheran’s decision-making.”
He did not specify what measures informed the decision-making process, but pointed to the US State Department as the agency working to influence that process.
In the meantime, he said, “we continue to assess that Iran has a scientific, technical and industrial capacity to produce enough highly enriched uranium for a weapon in the next few years if it chooses to do so, and eventually to produce nuclear weapons. The central issue is a decision to do so.”
The assessment provided to Congress, which covers international efforts to acquire WMD and advanced conventional capabilities over the course of 2009, contrasts with that of the National Intelligence Estimate of 2007, which judged that Iran had halted its nuclear weapons program.
The controversial 2007 NIE findings contradicted Israeli and other estimates. A revised estimate is expected to come out in the near future.
The new assessment found that “Iran continued to expand its nuclear infrastructure and continued uranium enrichment and activities related to its heavy water research reactor.”
But it added, “Although Iran made progress in expanding its nuclear infrastructure during 2009, some obstacles slowed progress during this period.” The nature of the obstacles was not specified.
The report also noted Iranian progress in its ballistic missile programand its capability of producing chemical and potentially biologicalwarfare agents.
The recent findings also addressed the continued nuclear ties betweenIran, North Korea and Syria. It singled out Syria for having “engagedfor more than a decade in a covert nuclear program with North Koreanassistance.”
Noting that the reactor being built by that covert program had beendestroyed in September 2007 – widely reported as having been done byIsrael – and that Syria had gone to “great lengths to try to eradicateevidence of its existence,” the report labels Damascus “generallyuncooperative” with international investigators.
“The covert nature of the program, the characteristics of the reactor,and Syria’s extreme efforts to deny and destroy evidence of the reactorafter its destruction are inconsistent with peaceful nuclearapplications,” the report states, adding that the country already had astockpile of chemical warfare agents on hand.