The IDF on Sunday said that Iran has probably lost the capability to fire 100 ballistic missiles at Israel simultaneously.

The statement was made after the US bombed Iran's most important remaining nuclear facility at Fordow, and the Islamic Republic's "best shot" retaliation late Sunday morning was multiple salvos, adding up only to 20-30 missiles.

Based on those numbers, that no Israelis have been killed by ballistic missiles in multiple days, and that even the number of severely wounded is down from Iranian attacks, if Tehran does not manage a more substantial or deadly attack later Sunday, the IDF  Home Front could decide as early as Sunday night or monday to relax restrictions again to open workplaces, synagogues, and other locations to people in increments of 20-30.

Last week, the IDF Home Front relaxed restrictions partially, allowing a gradual reopening of the economy, but early Sunday morning, concerned about how the Islamic Republic would respond to the Fordow attack, the IDF had returned to full restrictions on the home front.

Iran's ballistic missile attacks

On both October 1, 2024 and on June 14 last week, Iran fired around 200 ballistic missiles in one day, each time.

First responders arrive at the scene of a hit from an Iranian missile in central Israel, June 16, 2025.
First responders arrive at the scene of a hit from an Iranian missile in central Israel, June 16, 2025. (credit: Chen G. Schimmel/The Jerusalem Post)

On April 13-14, 2024, Iran launched over 100 ballistic missiles.

On June 15, Tehran launched around 100 ballistic missiles, split into salvos of around 75 and salvos of around 30.

On June 16, Iran launched 65 ballistic missiles.

Since the middle-end of last week, Iran has been brought down to 20-40 ballistic missiles per day for a number of days consecutively.

All of this occurs as it has become harder for Iran to fire ballistic missiles from Western Iran - the closest spot geographically to Israel - and as more than 50% of its missile launchers are said to already be destroyed by the IDF.