ICC Prosecutor to give final position on if Palestine is a state

Drama of alleged war crimes against Israel hits peak

The entrance of the International Criminal Court (ICC) is seen in The Hague (photo credit: REUTERS)
The entrance of the International Criminal Court (ICC) is seen in The Hague
(photo credit: REUTERS)
International Criminal Court Prosecutor Fatou Bensouda is due on Thursday to file her final position on whether ‘Palestine’ is a state in a dramatic climax of the war crimes allegations against Israel. 
How the three ICC Pre-Trial Chamber judges rule after Bensouda files her highly influential position will have fateful consequences for Israel on a legal, diplomatic and public relations level. 
The case would very likely not proceed if the ICC does not accept ‘Palestine’ as a state since most cases start only if they are referred by a state. 
On December 20, Bensouda had already ruled that Palestine is a state and that there was sufficient evidence that both Israel and Hamas committed war crimes, warranting her opening a full criminal investigation. 
However, she also asked the ICC’s Pre-Trial Chamber to endorse her view. Since then, about 50 countries, NGOs and world-renowned experts have filed positions with the chamber – both for and against Israel. 
The Israeli government itself did not respond to Bensouda’s December 20 decision, resting instead on two legal briefs it filed on the same day, hours before her announcement, and on the support of dozens of allied countries and NGOs.
Israel does not want to appear to have accepted ICC jurisdiction since it is not a member of the Rome Statute. 
In contrast, the Palestinian Authority has published statements calling on the ICC to disregard any countries objecting to the idea of Palestinian statehood.
Countries filing legal briefs to support Israel have included: The Czech Republic, Austria, Germany, Australia, Hungary, Brazil and Uganda. 
Germany is the most relevant because it is one of the largest funders of the ICC, second only to England – and the British are already in a direct fight with the court over a potential case against them. 
The Trump administration has rescinded Bensouda’s visa for traveling to the US and is threatening other measures against ICC personnel, potentially including sanctions, due to its position on both the Israel case and an unrelated case against the US for alleged torture of detainees in Afghanistan. 
Some of the other supporters of Israel who filed briefs include: The Israel Bar Association, the Lawfare Project, the Institute for NGO Research (NGO Monitor), Palestinian Media Watch, the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs and Shurat Hadin, as well as leading jurists, like former Canadian justice minister Irwin Cotler. 
The Arab League and the Organization of the Islamic Conference, which represent around 60 countries, have supported the Palestinian position. 
A number of other leading jurists, many who were once UN officials who criticized Israel such as William Schabas and Richard Falk, also support the Palestinian side. 
A major problem Israel may face here is that Bensouda is not acting alone even within the ICC system.
The court itself is regulated by the Assembly of State Parties, which has not only accepted Palestine as a state, but which has accepted the appointment of Palestinian diplomats to key positions several times.
It may be hard for the ICC judges to force the assembly that regulates it to roll back the clock five years to 2015 when it started to treat Palestine like a full-fledged state.      
There are some compromise solutions that have been floated, such as the ICC judges only ruling on what Palestine’s borders are, but not taking a position on statehood per se, leaving that decision to the court’s prosecutor. 
Another idea is to delay ruling on the statehood issues until a later point in the trial, as suggested by the ICC Public Defender’s Office. 
Culturally, Palestine is overwhelmingly accepted in the environments where international judges tend to operate – over 130 of around 190 states recognize “Palestine.” 
Some judges may simply find it unthinkable to toss the case out regardless of the real argument underlying Bensouda’s move: that right the right of Palestinians to self-determination trumps everything else (Israel says negotiations between the parties trumps everything else.) 
Israel is hopeful that it may have some luck with the three judges it drew: Péter Kovács of Hungary, Marc Perrin de Brichambaut of France and Reine Alapini-Gansou from the West African country of Benin. 
Kovács ruled in favor of Israel in a different case.
The other two ruled against Israel in that case, but some Israeli officials hope that since France has supported a Palestinian state through negotiations with Israel, Brichambaut may rule in its favor this time.
Those supporting Israel have said that there is no “State of Palestine” which could refer a case to the ICC, negating the court’s jurisdiction over allegations against Israel because it failed the 1933 Montevideo test for statehood. 
Under that test, an entity can only become a full-fledged “state” if it has a permanent population and a defined territory, government and capacity to enter into relations with other states.
The argument goes that the Palestinians fail most of these parameters. 
In contrast, those supporting the Palestinian side say that the principle of Palestinian self-determination and the prosecution of war crimes overrides the Montevideo principles, especially in light of decisions by the UN General Assembly and the Assembly of State Parties accepting Palestine.
The Assembly of State Parties is effectively the legislative branch of the ICC.
Israeli supporters turn this around and quote the UN General Assembly Resolution of November 2012, which elevated Palestine from observer status to non-member state, but prevented it from being a full-member state. 
The Czech Republic brief stated that, “The controversy over the question of statehood of Palestine has also appeared in relation to the unsuccessful application of Palestine for admission to membership in the United Nations.”
Moreover, the brief attacks the idea that the acceptance of the UN secretary-general of certain instruments in which “Palestine” acceded to various international treaties – a technical issue – is sufficient to let Palestine grant criminal war crimes jurisdiction to the ICC, a far more substantive issue. 
ICC Prosecutor Bensouda has said that once the UN secretary-general accepted Palestine as a state – and permitted it to join dozens of treaties, conventions and UN-related bodies – there is no basis to block it from joining the Rome Statute. 
Those supporting Palestine, including B’Tselem, have said that, “the prosecutor actually calls for a broad reading of the ICC’s jurisdiction that sees past the rigid, traditional concept of a sovereign state” to “more accurately reflect the object and purpose… combating immunity for perpetrators of serious crimes.”  
B’Tselem has said that using the Vienna Convention definition, “would actually constrict the powers of the ICC” from probing the “gravest of crimes, which ‘shock the conscience of humanity’ and ‘threaten the peace, security and well-being of the world.’”  
In a special interview with The Jerusalem Post in January, Bensouda said it was still possible she would end up closing the case against IDF soldiers. At the same time, she said that she may still decide to prosecute soldiers at a later date for their involvement in the 2014 war or the 2018-2019 Gaza border-fence conflict. 
Any ICC probe will also focus on settlement construction after 2014, the year the Palestinians chose as the starting date for membership in the ICC.
While this could put some top Israeli ministers and housing planning officials in the courts crosshairs, it would not apply to the vast majority of settlements, which were built before 2014. 
Originally, Bensouda was due to file her final position on March 30, but this was delayed by a month due to the coronavirus crisis. 
The slow pace of the proceedings draws into question how deeply the prosecutor will be able to personally delve into any criminal probe given that her nine-year term ends in June 2021 – and that the ICC Pre-Trial Chamber will likely roll into an extended appeal process.