Washington Watch: What peace process?

Trump is a master of diversion, especially when things aren’t going his way.

US President Ronald Reagan also discussed the 'settelments,' in this file picture members of the Israeli delegations such as Prime Minister Menachem Begin and Defense Minister Ariel Sharon can be seen on the left. Washington 1981.  (photo credit: REUTERS)
US President Ronald Reagan also discussed the 'settelments,' in this file picture members of the Israeli delegations such as Prime Minister Menachem Begin and Defense Minister Ariel Sharon can be seen on the left. Washington 1981.
(photo credit: REUTERS)
US Ambassador to Israel David Friedman declared that the Trump administration’s announcement that it no longer views West Bank settlements as illegal “advances the cause of peace” between Israel and the Palestinians.
If you believe that, I have some nice beach front property to sell you in the Negev.
There is no way this will advance peace, nor was it intended to. And that is fine with US President Donald Trump, who isn’t really serious about brokering the peace “Deal of the Century.”
It’s a scam run by three Orthodox Jews in the real estate business with close ties to the settler movement: Friedman and Jason Greenblatt, who were lawyers for the Trump Organization, and first son-in-law Jared Kushner. Greenblatt dropped out this fall, which was seen by many as a tacit admission that their repeatedly delayed peace plan was going nowhere.
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced Monday that the Trump administration no longer considers Israeli settlements a violation of international law. He called it a return to Ronald Reagan’s policy, but it really isn’t. Reagan reversed the Carter administration’s legal opinion that “civilian settlements” in the occupied territories were “inconsistent with international law.” Reagan said they’re not inherently illegal, but he saw them as obstacles to peace and called for a construction freeze to advance prospects for negotiations.
Trump wasn’t thinking about emulating Reagan, anyway, but reversing his nemesis president Barack Obama, a strong critic of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s aggressive settlement expansion agenda. Obama saw the prime minister’s West Bank building spree as part of his plan to thwart any two-state peace deal with the Palestinians. He was right.
Pompeo had been preparing this decision for months, he said, so why announce it now? It certainly wasn’t, as Pompeo would have us believe, to “increase the likelihood” of Israeli-Palestinian peace. More likely it is, notwithstanding Pompeo’s denial, to help Netanyahu save his political career and stay out of jail in several corruption cases.
Netanyahu was unable to form a governing coalition following two elections so far this year, and now his rival, Benny Gantz of the Blue and White Party, is asking Arab Knesset members to give him the votes he needs (although they would not join the coalition).
Netanyahu, who has a sordid history of racist appeals, is trying to sabotage Gantz’s effort by charging him with making an alliance with parties that “support the terrorist organizations” and want to “destroy” Israel. That’s something Trump can relate to, as he no doubt can relate to Bibi’s frantic efforts to avoid paying a price for his corruption.
The president has given Israel several gifts that strengthen the Israeli Right – his intentions were selfish, for his political aggrandizement, and not altruistic – like recognizing Israeli sovereignty over all of Jerusalem and the Golan Heights, and relocating the embassy to Jerusalem. If Netanyahu does head the next government, look for him to use this as his hechsher (authorization) for more aggressive settlement expansion and to begin annexing chunks of the West Bank.
Trump’s settlement decision was a slap at the Palestinians, whom he has dissed repeatedly by cutting aid for their government and for refugees. Team Kushner was believed to have worked closely with Netanyahu and his crew on their still-secret peace plan while largely freezing out the Palestinians.
SETTLEMENTS MAY appear to the uninitiated as a thorny issue of foreign policy, but it is really domestic politics. Trump cares much more about keeping his base of apocalypse-minded Evangelicals; a handful of deep-pocket Jewish donors; and Orthodox Jewish voters, working for him, raising money and getting out the votes for his reelection. He’s more concerned about the Middle West than the Middle East.
The new policy most likely was aimed at an essential Trump political base: Evangelical Christians. Having Pompeo, an Evangelical, make the announcement helps him if, as expected, he runs for the Senate for Kansas next year; he’s also said to have his eyes on the presidency in 2024.
Evangelical groups like Christians United for Israel and Friends of Zion are longtime critics of European anti-settlement policies, like last week’s ruling by the European Court of Justice that products from the West Bank must be labeled as such and not as produced from Israel. They’ve been pressing the administration to strike back, which it did this week.
Trump is a master of diversion, especially when things aren’t going his way. This week is expected to produce more damning evidence in the House impeachment inquiry, and he needs a distraction. Questions are being asked about his sudden trip to Walter Reed Hospital; no one believes it was because he had a lazy weekend with nothing else to do. Add to that, the campaigner-in-chief had just suffered two humiliating political defeats in gubernatorial races in Kentucky and Louisiana, where he’d held multiple rallies for the losers and told crowds “you got to give me a big win.”
But there is no doubt he was happy to hear the prime minister and others in the Israeli nationalist, settler and religious camps sing his praises. The new US policy is expected to lead to a spike in settlement construction in the years ahead, leading to increased pressure to annex more territory – something that could ignite new waves of violence and further isolate Israel in the international community. Already, about 460,000 Israelis, two-thirds of them religious Jews, reportedly live in the West Bank.
Ayelet Shaked, former justice minister and leader of the New Right Party, said the new US policy opens the way to annexing all Jewish communities in the West Bank and the Jordan Valley, something on the agenda of Netanyahu and much of his right-wing partners.
New York Rep. Lee Zeldin, one of only two Jewish Republicans in the 116th Congress, hailed the decision and used the occasion to trash Obama, accusing him of having “stabbed… Israel in the back” by not supporting Netanyahu’s settlements policy.
On the Left, Nimrod Novik, a former foreign policy adviser to Shimon Peres, said America is “empowering our Messianic, annexationist minority,” which could mean Israel “losing its Jewish majority and democracy.”
The majority of American Jews support the two-state solution, oppose settlement expansion, and fear that annexation would take Israel down the road toward a bi-national state or apartheid, and away from one that is both Jewish and democratic. That would likely further widen the growing chasm between most American Jews and Israel, and make peace between Israel and the Palestinians even more remote.

The New York Times
headline said the administration’s settlement decision “may doom peace efforts.”
What peace efforts?