Iran has cut the annual budget it provides Hizbullah by over 40 percent,
stirring an unprecedented crisis within the Lebanese Shi’ite guerrilla
organization.
This comes, according to recent Israeli intelligence
assessments, just weeks before a United Nations tribunal is expected to accuse
Hizbullah of assassinating former Lebanese prime minister Rafik Hariri in
2005.
RELATED:Nasrallah commemorates Hizbullah 'triumphs' over IsraelIran has in recent years provided Hizbullah with close to $1
billion in direct military aid, but due to the impact of the recent round of
international sanctions, the Islamic Republic has been forced to cut back on the
funding. The money is used by Hizbullah to buy advanced weaponry, train and pay
its operatives and establish military positions and sustain them throughout
Lebanon.
The cuts in the budget has stirred tension between Hizbullah and
its Iranian patrons, further fueled by disagreements between the top Hizbullah
leadership and the Revolutionary Guard Corps officer who was appointed earlier
this year to oversee Hizbullah operations on behalf of the Islamic
Republic.
That officer is Hossein Mahadavi, and his official title is
“commander of Iran’s overseas division,” which in this case is
Hizbullah.
Mahadavi is believed to maintain an office in Beirut and is a
senior member of the Guard’s Al-Quds Force, which is responsible for Iran’s
overseas operations.
Mahadavi was sent to Lebanon to fill the vacuum
created by the 2008 assassination of Hizbullah’s top military commander Imad
Mughniyeh in Syria, which the group has been attributed to Israel. Mughniyeh was
also the chief liaison between the Lebanese group and the Revolutionary
Guard.
According to information that has reached Israel, Mahadavi has
clashed with senior Hizbullah officials, including its Secretary- General Sheikh
Hassan Nasrallah, on critical issues pertaining to the group, which is refusing
to accept the Iranian’s authority.
Israel is concerned that the impending
publication of the first round of indictments by the UN’s Special Tribunal for
Lebanon investigating Hariri’s death could lead to regional instability,
depending on how Hizbullah responds to the findings.
Nasrallah has said
that Hizbullah would not stand by and allow its top operatives to take the fall
in what he has called a Zionist plot.
The prevailing assessment within
the IDF Northern Command is that Hizbullah will refrain from attacking Israel as
part of an effort to divert attention away from the tribunal’s findings, but is
more likely to topple the Lebanese government and steer the country toward
political deadlock.