By MICHAEL BENJAMINUpdated: NOVEMBER 27, 2016 07:08Oflategovernments are in crisis. They are unabletolead,representandmanage. Peopleactwhenevertheyfeeldisempoweredordisenfranchised; wesawthisinAmerica.Peopleexpectandaredemandpropermanagementofwell-formeddecisionsrepresentingtheirdesires. Osloisacaseinpoint;thedecisionmayhavebeensmart,butthemanagementwasdisastrous.Crisesobligeleaderstocomeforth.Weexpecttheleaderto show the direction,installpurposeandconfidence. He mustmanagethesituation.Wehaveseenthreewatershedeventsthismonth.TheelectionofTrumpisabloodlessrevolution.Netanyahuhasblunderedintoamessconcerningthesubmarinepurchase,whichmaywellbringdownhisgovernment.TheforestfiresandNasrallahaddedcomplications.TheseachangeinAmericanpolicyishardtopredict.ThepolicywillbedifferentfromObama's;itwillbelesscommittedandinvolvedthanObama'sandinall probabilities,itwillbemoresupportive.Inthisrespect,Trumpcanbeexpectedtomanagehispolicies andfulfil theoverallAmericanwish tosupportIsraelbutnotto beover involved.Wecanonlyguessthe type of leadershipTrumpwill adopt.InIsraelNetanyahu'sleadership skillsare alwaysquestioned.Themaniseloquentbutcompletelydevoidofcharisma;hedoesnotevoketrust.Netanyahuisnotaleader.Therearenootherobviousleaders,andhismanagementskillshavebeenexcellent.Hehasmanagedtheeconomyandourforeignpolicyindifficulttimeswithextremeskill.AslongasNetanyahucontinuestoagoodmanager,hislackof leadershipskillsarelessobvious.Thisweek,inthesubmarinecrisis,heshowedadistinctlackofmanagerialskill.Awisemandoesnotgetintotheproblemsthatthesmartmanknowstosolve.Netanyahuwasneither'swisenorsmart.TherewasageneralfeelinginIsraelthatsomethingwasamiss.ThisindiscretioncouldturnouttobehisequivalentofHillary'semails.Thecountrycouldforgivehimandevensympathizewithhimoverthenon-stopinvestigationsandtitle-tattleconcerninghiswife.Thesubmarinefiascoseemstobeofadifferentilk.Inthemidstofthecrisis,Israel,experiencingunusualweather,sufferedaseriesoffirestorms.Thereisnodoubtthegeographicallocationofeachstorm wasstrange.ThefirewashurtingtheJewsandnottheArabs. Therewere bothsmokeandsuspicionintheair.Thehourdemandedwedispersethesmokeand extinguishboththeincendiaryfiresandincendiarylanguage.TheaverageIsraelifeelsthesoldier,whoshotanArabinHebron,isnothavingafairtrial.Unfair,prejudicialstatements,madebythePrimeMinisterandtheMinisterofDefence,publiclyprejudgedhim. Netanyahuhasnotlearnedthelesson.He,far toogleefully,castaspersionsoverArabs and the fires.TheaverageIsraelifeltadéjàvu.WerecalledapanickedNetanyahu,atthetimeofelections,resortedtosimilarArabbashing.IambynomeansPC.Itoohavemysuspicions;evenmoresoafterspeakingwithanArabfriend.Hetoldmehehadsuspicions.However,Iamnotaleader.Goodleadershipwouldentailleadingthefightagainstthefires,givingasenseofconfidenceandexemplifyingthegoodwillshownbetweenArabandJewishHaifadwellingneighbors.TheyfoughtthefirestogetherandhelpedeachotherinthespiritwhichisthebenchmarkforallIsraeliinter-communalrelations. Investigationsandconclusionscomelater.Thefireshavedemonstratedthreefacts.Theremaywellbecollaboratorswho attimesofcrisis,giventherightweather,willsetafireinstrategicplaces.Thefirehasshownweareveryvulnerable.ThecrisisshowedNetanyahucannotleadinthehourofneed.Overtheborderisaverydeterminedcharismaticleader-Nasrallah.Nasrallahisavisionaryandaleader;heisalsoshowinghimselftobeaverygoodmanager.TherecanbenodoubtHezbollahispunchingaboveitsweight.ItisdoingssoduetoNasrallah'sleadership.NasrallahisasmartandinsightfulmanHetoowillhavenoticedIsrael'spoliticaland,new-shown, defensivevulnerabilities.Heknowsourdefensestrategyistodefendthetown'sandletrocketsfalluninterruptediftheyarenotgoingtohittowns.NasrallahnowcanaimatthewoodedareasaroundHaifaandcausealmostasmuchdamageashecouldbyhittingHaifa.NasrallahknowsheblunderedbadlybyprovokingOlmert.HealsoknowstheIranianswouldnotwanttogetintoanotherwar.TheRussiansinall probabilitieswouldbeonlytoopleasedtoseeIsraelremovetheHezbollahfromtheequation.AfterthefallofAleppo,PutinhasnoneedfortheHezbollah.The HezbollahstrengthenstheIranianhand-somethingwhichwillnotpleasePutin.Thesefactorsshouldstayhis Nasrallah'shand.NasrallahrealizesNetanyahuisnowinacorner.IsraeliPrimeMinistersunderpressuretendtodooneoftwothings.Eithermakepeaceorgotowar.FortheweakenedNetanyahu,whohasnoroomtomaneuverinhisright-wing government,thepeaceoptionisanonstarter.Heishoistedbyhisownpetard.WearenowinasituationwhereObama's restraininghandisabsent;wehavealame-duckPrimeMinisterunderextremepressureandthenewlydiscoveredanunexpecteddefensivevulnerabilityweshouldcorrect.OpposingusisacannyNasrallah, whohasmanyfactorstoconsider.Hehastofindasolution.Onesolutionistopre-empt.Ashortfuseisnowevenshorter.Thefutureisfarfromdefinite.Onethingiscertain;whateverhappenswillneitherexpressleadershipnormanagement.Andthepeoplewillpay,yetagain.