The idea that Egypt and Syria would be easily defeated in a war with Israel was so deeply ingrained in Military Intelligence, and the likelihood of this happening deemed so small, that an intelligence officer who warned just before the Yom Kippur War that Syria would attack was reprimanded for his assessment, according to declassified protocols of the Agranat Commission that were released on Sunday.
The Agranat Commission was the government commission of inquiry that investigated the failures of the 1973 Yom Kippur War. It held IDF chief of staff David Elazar responsible for the “assessment of the situation and the preparedness of the IDF” and called for his removal. It also called for the dismissal of the chief of military intelligence Eliyahu Zeira and his deputy, Aryeh Shalev. The report also led to the eventual resignation of prime minister Golda Meir.