Lira hits record low as Turkey prepares for new cabinet

In its third successive day of losses, the lira TRYTOM=D3 weakened nearly 1.6% to a record low of 20.75 against the US currency, taking its losses this year to nearly 10%.

 A board showing foreign currency exchange rates against Turkish lira is on display at a currency exchange office in Istanbul, Turkey April 11, 2018. (photo credit: MURAD SEZER/REUTERS)
A board showing foreign currency exchange rates against Turkish lira is on display at a currency exchange office in Istanbul, Turkey April 11, 2018.
(photo credit: MURAD SEZER/REUTERS)

Turkey's lira tumbled on Wednesday to a fresh record low against the dollar as President Tayyip Erdogan prepared to decide the shape of his new cabinet and the direction of economic policy after an election triumph.

Former economy chief Mehmet Simsek, who is highly regarded by financial markets for his orthodox policy credentials, is almost certain to be included in the cabinet, either as finance minister or as a vice president, four senior officials said.

A key role for Simsek could signal a departure from Erdogan's years-long unorthodox policy, underpinned by interest rate cuts in the face of high inflation, which has led to the lira's persistent decline.

In its third successive day of losses, the lira TRYTOM=D3 weakened nearly 1.6% to a record low of 20.75 against the US currency, taking its losses this year to nearly 10%.

It later firmed slightly, standing at 20.7150 at 1149 GMT.

 A tourist changes foreign currency to Turkish Lira at a currency exchange office in central Istanbul December 27, 2013. Turkey's lira hit a record low and stocks were at their weakest in 17 months on Friday as a scandal pitting the government against the judiciary took their toll on markets.  (credit: MURAD SEZER/REUTERS)
A tourist changes foreign currency to Turkish Lira at a currency exchange office in central Istanbul December 27, 2013. Turkey's lira hit a record low and stocks were at their weakest in 17 months on Friday as a scandal pitting the government against the judiciary took their toll on markets. (credit: MURAD SEZER/REUTERS)

The currency's implied volatility gauges climbed on Wednesday with the one-year measure rising to 45.46% - its highest in at least a decade and a half, data from Fenics showed. TRY1YO=FN

Erdogan to announce to cabinet to look at economic policy

The focus now is on Erdogan's announcement of the new cabinet appointments, including top economic policy management, which is expected to come by Saturday at the latest.

"I don't know whether he will be the new finance minister or not, but any credible name is important to give a signal to the market that there will be change. Action speaks more than intention," said Cagri Kutman of KNG Securities.

"If you have Mehmet Simsek or a similar person in charge that is a big move. But then the market will be curious about the first move of the economic team – will there be more orthodox policies or will they do something worse or will they do something to buy time and see how it goes?"

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First-quarter economic growth stayed buoyant, with gross domestic product expanding 4.0%, despite the impact of February's earthquakes, high inflation and a cost of living crisis. GDP also grew 0.3% from the previous quarter.

Turkey's main stock index BIST100 .XU100 was up about 0.3% at 1148 GMT, while the banking index .XBANK rose 0.26%.