Netanyahu's preemptive strategy

There is a fine line between paranoia and smart politics. Netanyahu did not have to go to a factory and push for someone to be fired.

By
October 28, 2018 05:28
4 minute read.
Netanyahu's preemptive strategy

netanyahu saar beware lip readers 248 88. (photo credit: AP)

 
X

Dear Reader,
As you can imagine, more people are reading The Jerusalem Post than ever before. Nevertheless, traditional business models are no longer sustainable and high-quality publications, like ours, are being forced to look for new ways to keep going. Unlike many other news organizations, we have not put up a paywall. We want to keep our journalism open and accessible and be able to keep providing you with news and analyses from the frontlines of Israel, the Middle East and the Jewish World.

As one of our loyal readers, we ask you to be our partner.

For $5 a month you will receive access to the following:

  • A user experience almost completely free of ads
  • Access to our Premium Section
  • Content from the award-winning Jerusalem Report and our monthly magazine to learn Hebrew - Ivrit
  • A brand new ePaper featuring the daily newspaper as it appears in print in Israel

Help us grow and continue telling Israel’s story to the world.

Thank you,

Ronit Hasin-Hochman, CEO, Jerusalem Post Group
Yaakov Katz, Editor-in-Chief

UPGRADE YOUR JPOST EXPERIENCE FOR 5$ PER MONTH Show me later

Ahead of scheduled 2019 election, Netanyahu is launching preemptive strikes

It was an ironic coincidence that the city where former interior minister Gideon Sa’ar came to campaign Wednesday night was Ma’alot-Tarshiha.

Be the first to know - Join our Facebook page.


Sa’ar has been in a different city every night, campaigning for the Likud’s candidates in next Tuesday’s municipal elections. Never before was he joined by journalists and cameras waiting for his every word.

They left disappointed, because all Sa’ar would say in response to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s accusations that Sa’ar had been conspiring to overthrow him after the 2019 election was that the prime minister should have a happy birthday.

The reason it was ironic that Sa’ar was accused of being an “underminer” when he was en route to Ma’alot was that the northern development town has a reputation of being the capital of political paranoia.

Its mayor, 75-year-old Shlomo Bohbot, has controlled the city since 1976, and he does not tolerate opposition. People are scared to admit they are not voting for him, because of the stories of his vengeance in the past.

For instance, when Bohbot saw a sticker for one of his opponents in a factory parking lot, he came into the factory and yelled at the foreman, demanding that he fire the owner of the car.

JPOST VIDEOS THAT MIGHT INTEREST YOU:


Sa’ar initially decided to not respond to the false charges against him. He has been very careful not to say anything against Netanyahu since he began his political comeback a year and a half ago, so no one could pretend he was undermining the prime minister.

But Sa’ar changed his mind and decided to go on the offensive when, on the way home from Ma’alot, he saw the video of Netanyahu at his birthday party suggesting that after the election, President Reuven Rivlin would ask Sa’ar to form the government instead of him. Without mentioning Sa’ar by name, Netanyahu said a former minister in the Likud had been speaking to officials in the coalition about such a maneuver.

The prime minister’s concerns about Sa’ar apparently were intensified by an article on the Likud activist website Likudnik about how Sa’ar’s power and connections had been increasing behind the scenes and how the next Likud faction could be dominated by Sa’ar loyalists.

Netanyahu’s associates had been trying to sell the story about the Sa’ar-Rivlin conspiracy for weeks, and it had been reported by three different media outlets before it finally grabbed attention when it hit the lead to Wednesday’s Israel Hayom. It was especially important to Netanyahu’s aides to dominate that morning’s news coverage to take attention away from a different scoop the night before.

Channel 2 reported that police had completed their work on Netanyahu’s investigations and would begin writing their recommendations to Attorney-General Avichai Mandelblit. The report said that after some three years and Netanyahu being questioned by police a dozen times, a source in the prosecution promised to “surprise everyone with their timetable” and Mandelblit would announce his indictment by April 2019.

The Israel Hayom story said Netanyahu decided to delay initiating an election, because he wanted to first pass a bill that could prevent the president from asking an MK who is not the leader of a party to form a government. But it could be that Netanyahu changed his plans because Mandelblit’s timetable had changed. The last thing he needs is a humiliating bribery indictment during a campaign.

Unlike imaginary putsches, his poor relationship with Rivlin or a challenge from any of the current MKs, the attorney-general is a very serious threat to end Netanyahu’s political career. That is why Netanyahu must proceed with caution when deciding when to initiate the election.

THE MOST likely scenario remains that Netanyahu will win the next election and somehow continue governing the country while under an indictment. Various ideas about how to avoid such a scenario have been floated via trial balloons.

The first was passing the French Law, which prevents a sitting president or prime minister from being investigated. But that would be messy because it would involve passing a Basic Law that is both personal and retroactive.

The revelation two weeks ago that a single vote in the Knesset could grant Netanyahu immunity from prosecution was much simpler. Likud MK Miki Zohar tried to make it even simpler this week by proposing a bill to make an MK’s immunity automatic.

But Netanyahu himself called Zohar to back down from the idea, and Zohar said he would no longer promote it. He also stressed that the idea had been his and his alone and not prompted by Netanyahu.

Despite the denials, all these ideas could come back into play after the election. Leaking them to the press now can be seen as a series of preemptive strikes by the prime minister to reveal the weapons in his arsenal before the real election battle begins.

The same can be said of the Rivlin-Sa’ar conspiracy. So far, Netanyahu has offered no proof that it is true, and the diagnosis of paranoia he received from the President’s Residence will not score the prime minister any political points.

But it could become a possibility a few months from now, following an election, a Netanyahu landslide victory and an indictment for bribery.

Raising the idea now, months in advance, was a good way to kill it, before it even entered the mind of Rivlin, Sa’ar or their confidants in the anti-Netanyahu Hebrew press.

There is a fine line between paranoia and smart politics. Netanyahu did not have to go to a factory and push for someone to be fired.

He fired first, before his potential political opponents even knew what hit them.

Join Jerusalem Post Premium Plus now for just $5 and upgrade your experience with an ads-free website and exclusive content. Click here>>

Related Content

Benjamin Netanyahu
November 16, 2018
Early election inevitable – but Netanyahu denying it

By LAHAV HARKOV