When Rosner is wrong

Jerusalem Post Blogger Shmuel Rosner has written a book about relations between American Jews and Israel. I have not yet seen the book, written in Hebrew and entitled “Shtetl, Bagel, Baseball,” but I have just seen an English excerpt that appeared in the Jerusalem Post on March 10
Rosner is one of the more interesting commentators on this well-worn subject. While he trends conservative, he has an original, quirky, iconoclastic approach, and one never knows where he will end up. In the March 10 article, he follows this pattern, arguing that the rift between American Jews and Israelis is best explained not by differences over Israeli policy but by differences over American policy.
According to Rosner, liberal American Jews—who are the majority—hated President George W. Bush while Israelis and their leaders loved him. Jewish Americans, therefore, decided they could not possibly identify with an Israel that embraced the hated Bush and his unpopular policies on Iraq (and other things). Once again, Rosner is thought-provoking and unconventional—and in this instance, wrong.
First, American Jews deserve more credit than Rosner gives them. They are a pretty sophisticated bunch. Yes, the polls indicate that they did not like Bush and his Iraq war, but they are able to make distinctions. They know full well that Israel needs American support, no matter who its president and no matter what American Jews think of him. They don’t blame Israel for cozying up to America.
Second, Rosner implies—without really saying so—support for the idea that the Bush/Republican position on Israel is fundamentally different from the liberal/Obama/Democratic position on Israel. In fact, the differences are mostly incidental. American policy has been remarkably consistent for 2 decades: a Palestinian state alongside Israel, under conditions that will guarantee peace and security for both—and that will enable Israel to remain both Jewish and democratic. And American Jews know this as well. Those who think that a Republican President will fundamentally change the rules of the game are misreading the political realities. Recent events, including popular uprisings throughout the Arab world, will only reinforce the basic pillars of American foreign policy on the Israel-Palestinian question.
Third, the war in Iraq may or may not be good for America, but it has been disastrous for Israel. Iran is a major threat to Israel today because America deposed Saddam Hussein, who fought a long but inconclusive war with Iran and for decades was a counterbalance to Iranian power. American Jews did not oppose the Iraq war because of Israel, but they surely know it has done Israel no good.
And finally, American Jews really do not like Israel’s settlement policy. Anyone who has spent an hour with non-establishment American Jews on campus or in any American city is aware this. It is not the only factor that determines American Jewish attitudes toward Israel, but it is a significant factor and foolish to ignore.
I don’t question the Rosner observation that Reform Jews are insufficiently committed to Israel. This is a point that I have made many times. I also acknowledge that until I have read his book, I can’t be certain that the short excerpt in the Post accurately reflects his views. But in my opinion the argument that I did read was convoluted, unconvincing, and wrong.