Kadima would fall from its current 28 seats in the Knesset to only 10 if journalist Yair Lapid enters politics and forms a new party, a Shvakim Panorama poll broadcast on Israel Radio Thursday found.
The poll predicted that Lapid's party would win 15 seats, the same number his late father, former justice minister Yosef (Tommy) Lapid, won at the helm of Shinui in 2003. Another new party led by former Shas leader Aryeh Deri would win seven mandates according to the poll, leaving Shas with only five, down from their current 11.
Likud would win 24 seats, Labor 15, Israel Beiteinu 14, United Torah Judaism six, Meretz five, Habayit Hayehudi and the National Union four each, and Arab parties 11. Defense Minister Ehud Barak's Independence Party would not cross the electoral threshold.