Iran seeks to expand its influence in Africa through weapons trades and chaos - analysis

Iran expands influence in Africa via trade and arms sales, leveraging global chaos. Reports detail its strategies, including partnerships in Sudan and Niger.

 Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks during a meeting with a group of academic elites and scientific talents in Tehran, Iran October 19, 2022 (photo credit: Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA/Handout via Reuters)
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks during a meeting with a group of academic elites and scientific talents in Tehran, Iran October 19, 2022
(photo credit: Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA/Handout via Reuters)

Iran is seeking greater influence in Africa via trade and weapons exports, two new reports claim. The assertion, at UAE-based Al-Ain media, describes how Iran “is expanding its footprint in Africa, offering a recipe for weapons, trade partnerships, and chaos to enhance its influence on the African continent.”

It is using the current global chaos unleashed as a result of events such as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the war in Gaza to achieve this. It is also adding “new lines of influence from Sudan,” the report says, which builds on an earlier investigation by Radio Free Europe on April 23 that first examined this trend.

“Iran is expanding its footprint in Africa, offering arms, partnerships, and chaos as it works to boost its influence on the continent,” RFE noted. “This week, Iran is touting the second Iran-Africa trade summit in just over a year, with representatives from more than 40 African countries expected for the April 26-29 event in Tehran,” the RFE article said. It focused on Iran’s role in Niger and Sudan.

The UAE’s media interest illustrates that Iran’s expansion raises eyebrows in the Gulf. It examines this trend amid reports that Tehran also drew-down forces in Syria. An Iranian official was quoted as saying that “the future of global trade will be determined in Africa,” according to Iran’s Mehr Agency.

Iran's strategic expansion

 An Iranian woman walks past an anti-Israel banner with a picture of Iranian missiles on a street in Tehran, Iran April 19, 2024. (credit: MAJID ASGARIPOUR/WANA (WEST ASIA NEWS AGENCY) VIA REUTERS)
An Iranian woman walks past an anti-Israel banner with a picture of Iranian missiles on a street in Tehran, Iran April 19, 2024. (credit: MAJID ASGARIPOUR/WANA (WEST ASIA NEWS AGENCY) VIA REUTERS)

All the ingredients in Africa are present for enabling Iran’s exploitation of the scene. The Islamic Republic preys on chaos and establishes long-term investment in local networks. This is how it operationalized the Houthis in Yemen. It also seeks to establish proxy groups. Iran is also expanding relationships in Sudan, Eritrea, and Djibouti. “Iranian weapons sales to Sudan’s armed forces, which are fighting a civil war against rebels, have recently allowed the military to reverse losses and regain territory,” RFE noted.

The export of Iranian drones to Sudan has been in the spotlight in recent months, for instance. “Iran seeks, by providing such assistance to the Sudanese Armed Forces, to strengthen its presence on the African continent and carve out an area of influence for it[self],” Al-Ain noted.

Both reports focus on Iran’s role across the Sahel, from Sudan to Niger. Niger has sought to shift its links from the West to countries like Russia and Iran. Tehran wants to fill the vacuum left by the West, as it has done elsewhere. “Iran signed several cooperation agreements with Burkina Faso in the fields of energy, urban planning, higher education, and construction,” the Al-Ain report said. Iran has also sought to expand influence in Mali.

The creeping Iranian influence in Africa has been clear for years. In many cases, Iran already had ties with regimes such as Sudan and they are merely trying to keep those ties. However, they also want to exploit the perceived weakening of the West to move into new areas of influence. Toward that end, they see opportunities in places like Niger.

The wider picture is Iran’s attempt to use the Gaza war and its ties with Russia to build a new regional and global world order. Africa is one area where it is active, but it is also active in Central Asia and other regions.