Most Israelis believe US President Donald Trump's administration has greater influence over Israel’s security decisions than the Israeli government, according to the Israel Democracy Institute’s monthly Israeli Voice Index published on Tuesday.
The nationwide survey, conducted November 2–6 among representative Jewish and Arab samples, also finds broad perception that Israel’s security is a central consideration for Trump, alongside persistent splits over judicial legislation and the scope of haredi conscription. The maximum sampling error was ±3.56% at a 95% confidence level, IDI said.
In the most striking result, the largest share of respondents said the Trump administration exerts the most influence on Israel’s security policy, roughly double the share who pointed to the Israeli government. Across the Israeli-Jewish political spectrum, a majority on the Left and a plurality in the Center answered that Washington leads, while a smaller but notable share on the Right agreed.
The poll further indicates most Israelis, Jews and Arabs alike, view Israel’s security as one of Trump’s central considerations. That view rose slightly among Jewish respondents compared with mid-2025, IDI reported.
Asked about five principles outlined by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for ending the war, a majority said only the return of all hostages has been realized to a large extent. Most respondents judged that Israeli security control in Gaza, demilitarization, disarming Hamas, and establishing a non-Hamas, non-PA civil administration have not yet been achieved to a significant degree.
Haredi conscription, judicial reform remain a flashpoint
On the judicial reform, around half of the total sample said advancing the legislation now is not correct, with larger opposition among Center and Left voters and greater support on the Right. The finding comes as the Knesset Constitution, Law and Justice Committee has repeatedly advanced related measures this year. See background coverage in The Jerusalem Post.
On ultra-Orthodox conscription, nearly half of Jewish respondents supported drafting all young haredi men except for a limited number of outstanding yeshiva students, while a further third backed drafting those not engaged in Torah study, leaving a small minority favoring the status quo.
Public contention over the issue has intensified in recent weeks amid mass rallies and legislative moves, as previously reported by The Jerusalem Post.