For the first time, the latest poll shows the bloc led by Likud leader Benjamin Netanyahu would receive 61 seats in the upcoming election, allowing the former prime minister to establish a narrow right-wing government.
The poll by Panels Politics also found that the Yamina Party under Ayelet Shaked would not cross the threshold. Currently led by Alternate Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, the party would receive only 2.6% of the vote if led by Shaked in the November 1 election.
This is the first time that Netanyahu’s bloc has been shown to secure the needed majority to form a coalition. Alongside Yamina, Meretz does not cross the electoral threshold as well, with a mere 2.1% of the vote, changing the balance that enables Netanyahu’s bloc to secure a slim majority.
Poll results
According to the poll, Likud would receive 36 seats, the Religious Zionist Party 10 seats, Shas 8, and United Torah Judaism 7.
On the other side, Prime Minister Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid party would receive 23 seats, Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, nine seats, Labor six, New Hope and Yisrael Beyteunu five, and Mansour Abbas’s Ra’am Party would net four seats.
Lapid’s party climbed a seat since a previous poll taken by Panels Politics on June 30, showing that serving as prime minister is helping the Yesh Atid leader. It is possible that he will continue to climb next week after the visit to Israel by US President Joe Biden.