DIPLOMATIC AFFAIRS: Trump’s framing of Iran as a direct security threat to the US in his State of the Union address could shape whether Washington ultimately chooses war over diplomacy.
Iran and its proxies may attempt direct military action, and mobilize terror attacks or sabotage activity within Israel in retaliation for US strikes, the Alma Research and Education Center analyzed.
The briefing came while the Trump administration's special envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner were in Geneva holding nuclear talks with Iran.
Hezbollah said that it will stay out of the war and not attack Israel if any American or Israeli attack on Iran is limited to certain Iranian capabilities.
A deal would also have to require thorough accounting for Iran's stock of enriched uranium. Any doubts about that could trigger a new conflict.
Bayt-e Rahbari has allowed Khamenei’s authority to remain intact in his absence and, according to United Against Nuclear Iran, highlights the regime’s durability.
Legal analysts cited in Western coverage say the ICC faces jurisdictional challenges because Iran is not a member of the Rome Statute.
These are important talks and come amid tensions between the US and Iran.
“There’s thinking in and around the administration that the politics are a lot better if the Israelis go first and alone and the Iranians retaliate against us," sources told Politico.
Witkoff told a private gathering of AIPAC donors in Washington that the Trump administration aims to sign a deal without a "sunset clause."
The talks are expected to determine whether there is still a path to an agreement between Tehran and Washington, or whether the likelihood of a US military strike will rise significantly.
